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UVA Advanced Box Score

Taking an in-depth look at the last week's game

By Matt Mills

Advanced Box Score

gtuvawp

Top 5 Plays

Play Number

Offense

Down

Distance

Spot

Quarter

Play Description

UVA Pred WP

UVA WPA

1

74

Georgia Tech

3

8

30

2

Justin Thomas Pass to Clinton Lynch for 30, TOUCHDOWN

0.595

-0.170

2

67

Virginia

2

10

39

2

Matt Johns Pass to NA NA for 0, INTERCEPTION

0.730

-0.158

3

102

Georgia Tech

1

10

73

3

Justin Thomas Rush for 3, FUMBLE

0.491

0.155

4

25

Georgia Tech

2

10

49

1

Clinton Lynch Rush for 49, TOUCHDOWN

0.601

-0.150

5

104

Virginia

2

10

30

3

Matt Johns Pass to Canaan Severin for 30, TOUCHDOWN

0.620

0.135

  • Surprisingly the onside kick wasn't even a top 10 play in the game. Overcoming a small deficit with that little time left is still very unlikely.
  • That third quarter was just brutal. We had about a 62% chance of winning at half time and ended the third quarter 5 plays away from having a 5% chance of winning.
  • We hit some big plays in this game to keep it close but we consistently had possessions that actually decreased our chance of winning the game.

Advanced Box Score

Passing Downs Quarter Performance
GT UVA GT UVA
Plays 23 13 Yards / Play Success Rate Yards / Play Success Rate
Yards / Play 7.48 7.77 Q1 9 60% 6.45 65%
Success Rate 30% 46% Q2 4.85 31% 3.37 42%
Standard Downs Q3 4.09 36% 7.7 60%
GT UVA Q4 6.57 47% 5.55 45%
Plays 41 57 Down Performance
Yards / Play 5.44 5.39 GT UVA
Success Rate 51% 56% Yards / Play Success Rate Yards / Play Success Rate
Passing Plays 1 6.64 46% 7.23 58%
GT UVA 2 7.4 45% 5.72 52%
Plays 32 28 3 4.92 46% 2.93 50%
Yards / Play 7.75 6.25 4 -1 0% - -
Success Rate 38% 50% Drive Performance
Sack Rate (SD / PD) 0% / 4% 0% / 0% Num Drives Avg Start Spot % Methodical % Explosive
Running Plays GT 12 71 8% 8%
GT UVA UVA 11 65 27% 9%
Plays 32 42 % of Possible Yards Gained GT: 43% UVA: 53%
Yards / Play 4.59 5.55 Georgia Tech Hidden Yards -74.58
Success Rate 50% 57% Turnovers GT: 2 UVA: 1

  • I'll start with some positives. We did a much better job than we have been all year on moving the chains on 3rd down. I'm pretty sure 46% is the highest I've seen our 3rd down success rate all year. We had a 50% success rate running the ball and a 51% success rate on standard downs which should set up our offense to consistently move the ball. We also started out hot, gaining 9 yards per play in the 1st quarter.
  • But, there are a log of negatives on here. 2 turnovers isn't awful but without them we probably win this game. We only had 1 methodical drive (10+ plays) and only 1 explosive drive (10 yards/play) in the game.
  • On defense we allowed a 57% success rate on rushing plays and a 50% success rate on passing plays. We didn't allow many big plays but it didn't matter: UVA was just able to work the ball down the field with ease.

Drive Chart
gtuvadc

  • Our offense hit such a funk after our second touchdown. Our drives following that went punt, fumble, punt, turnover on downs, turnover on downs, and then finally a touchdown to get within a score. I hope someone can tell you why we all the sudden started sucking because I can't.
There really isn't much else to say. When your offense turns the ball over twice and your defense can't stop the opposing team from moving the ball down the field you probably won't have a chance to win a lot of games comfortably. We aren't playing *bad* in the sense that we are getting blown out by teams on our level, but you can't expect to avoid these close games were it's basically luck on who comes out ahead.

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