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Win Probability
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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Win Probability Before Play |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
138 |
North Carolina |
1 |
10 |
37 |
4 |
Quinshad Davis Pass to Marquise Williams for 37, TOUCHDOWN |
0.644 |
-0.271 |
|
2 |
154 |
North Carolina |
4 |
5 |
27 |
4 |
Marquise Williams Rush for 27, TOUCHDOWN |
0.289 |
-0.215 |
|
3 |
137 |
Georgia Tech |
1 |
10 |
36 |
4 |
Justin Thomas Rush for -7, FUMBLE |
0.859 |
-0.215 |
|
4 |
180 |
Georgia Tech |
3 |
10 |
56 |
4 |
Justin Thomas Pass to NA NA for 0, INTERCEPTION |
0.184 |
-0.184 |
|
5 |
148 |
Georgia Tech |
4 |
5 |
41 |
4 |
Justin Thomas Pass to Brad Stewart for 0 |
0.416 |
-0.135 |
- Yyyyyeeeaaahhh that was a quick turnaround. In two plays we went from an 86% chance of winning to a 37% chance of winning. IN TWO PLAYS!!
- Tech's Win Probability peaked at 98.4%, so basically only 1 in 50 teams in similar situations lose this game. We are the 2 percent!!
- Man, that goal line turnover on downs...ugh, it hurts. Mind you, I absolutely do not disagree with the decision to go for it, its the correct call. But man, you'd think this offense could get that one little yard?
- Tech's biggest play was North Carolina's missed field goal at the end of the game. Our biggest actual play of our own was the 4th down conversion to Skov in the third quarter.
Advanced Box Score
| Passing Downs | Quarter Performance | ||||||
| GT | UNC | GT | UNC | ||||
| Plays | 16 | 15 | Yards / Play | Success Rate | Yards / Play | Success Rate | |
| Yards / Play | 4.31 | 7.67 | Q1 | 5.62 | 76% | 7 | 25% |
| Success Rate | 31% | 33% | Q2 | 4.65 | 60% | 6.58 | 63% |
| Standard Downs | Q3 | 6.88 | 56% | 6.76 | 53% | ||
| GT | UNC | Q4 | 4.17 | 39% | 8.36 | 43% | |
| Plays | 64 | 43 | Down Performance | ||||
| Yards / Play | 5.44 | 6.93 | GT | UNC | |||
| Success Rate | 64% | 56% | Yards / Play | Success Rate | Yards / Play | Success Rate | |
| Passing Plays | 1 | 5.57 | 57% | 7.21 | 50% | ||
| GT | UNC | 2 | 6.74 | 67% | 6.67 | 57% | |
| Plays | 21 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 38% | 5.5 | 25% |
| Yards / Play | 7.71 | 6.39 | 4 | 2.8 | 60% | 27 | 100% |
| Success Rate | 52% | 39% | Drive Performance | ||||
| Sack Rate (SD / PD) | 0% / 0% | 2% / 7% | Num Drives | Avg Start Spot | % Methodical | % Explosive | |
| Running Plays | GT | 10 | 66 | 40% | 10% | ||
| GT | UNC | UNC | 10 | 66 | 10% | 20% | |
| Plays | 59 | 30 | % of Possible Yards Gained | GT: 64% | UNC: 63% | ||
| Yards / Play | 4.32 | 7.8 | Georgia Tech Hidden Yards | 0 | |||
| Success Rate | 59% | 60% | Turnovers | GT: 2 | UNC: 0 | ||
- I was expecting more of a drop off of Tech's performance from the 1st quarter to the 4th quarter. I guess in our success rate you do see that, in the first quarter we were successful on 3 out of every 4 plays but in the 4th we were only getting the necessary yardage we needed on 4 out of every 10 plays.
- We really don't need to be passing the ball 21 times in a game but nearly 8 yards per play at a 52% success rate is pretty great. Our issue is when we get in passing situations. When we have a lot of yards to go for a 1st down on 2nd or 3rd our offense has just kind of shut down. Averaging 4 yards per play when we need at least 5 for a first down is not a recipe for continued success.
- Our defense, played ok? Other than UNC just running wildly this is about how I expected them to play.
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Not sure what else there is to say, but I am still proud of our defense's performance. After the first turnover on downs we held their offense to a punt, allowed a TD on terrible field position, allowed a TD on not-good field position, and held them to a field goal. Our offense was just unable to do anything after getting stopped on the goal line.