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UNC Advanced Box Score

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Taking an in-depth look at the stats behind Saturday's loss

Win Probability

uncgtwp

Top 5 Plays

Play Number

Offense

Down

Distance

Spot

Quarter

Play Description

Home Team Win Probability Before Play

Home Team Win Probability Added

1

138

North Carolina

1

10

37

4

Quinshad Davis Pass to Marquise Williams for 37, TOUCHDOWN

0.644

-0.271

2

154

North Carolina

4

5

27

4

Marquise Williams Rush for 27, TOUCHDOWN

0.289

-0.215

3

137

Georgia Tech

1

10

36

4

Justin Thomas Rush for -7, FUMBLE

0.859

-0.215

4

180

Georgia Tech

3

10

56

4

Justin Thomas Pass to NA NA for 0, INTERCEPTION

0.184

-0.184

5

148

Georgia Tech

4

5

41

4

Justin Thomas Pass to Brad Stewart for 0

0.416

-0.135

  • Yyyyyeeeaaahhh that was a quick turnaround. In two plays we went from an 86% chance of winning to a 37% chance of winning. IN TWO PLAYS!!
  • Tech's Win Probability peaked at 98.4%, so basically only 1 in 50 teams in similar situations lose this game. We are the 2 percent!!
  • Man, that goal line turnover on downs...ugh, it hurts. Mind you, I absolutely do not disagree with the decision to go for it, its the correct call. But man, you'd think this offense could get that one little yard?
  • Tech's biggest play was North Carolina's missed field goal at the end of the game. Our biggest actual play of our own was the 4th down conversion to Skov in the third quarter.

Advanced Box Score

Passing Downs Quarter Performance
GT UNC GT UNC
Plays 16 15 Yards / Play Success Rate Yards / Play Success Rate
Yards / Play 4.31 7.67 Q1 5.62 76% 7 25%
Success Rate 31% 33% Q2 4.65 60% 6.58 63%
Standard Downs Q3 6.88 56% 6.76 53%
GT UNC Q4 4.17 39% 8.36 43%
Plays 64 43 Down Performance
Yards / Play 5.44 6.93 GT UNC
Success Rate 64% 56% Yards / Play Success Rate Yards / Play Success Rate
Passing Plays 1 5.57 57% 7.21 50%
GT UNC 2 6.74 67% 6.67 57%
Plays 21 28 3 2 38% 5.5 25%
Yards / Play 7.71 6.39 4 2.8 60% 27 100%
Success Rate 52% 39% Drive Performance
Sack Rate (SD / PD) 0% / 0% 2% / 7% Num Drives Avg Start Spot % Methodical % Explosive
Running Plays GT 10 66 40% 10%
GT UNC UNC 10 66 10% 20%
Plays 59 30 % of Possible Yards Gained GT: 64% UNC: 63%
Yards / Play 4.32 7.8 Georgia Tech Hidden Yards 0
Success Rate 59% 60% Turnovers GT: 2 UNC: 0
  • I was expecting more of a drop off of Tech's performance from the 1st quarter to the 4th quarter. I guess in our success rate you do see that, in the first quarter we were successful on 3 out of every 4 plays but in the 4th we were only getting the necessary yardage we needed on 4 out of every 10 plays.
  • We really don't need to be passing the ball 21 times in a game but nearly 8 yards per play at a 52% success rate is pretty great. Our issue is when we get in passing situations. When we have a lot of yards to go for a 1st down on 2nd or 3rd our offense has just kind of shut down. Averaging 4 yards per play when we need at least 5 for a first down is not a recipe for continued success.
  • Our defense, played ok? Other than UNC just running wildly this is about how I expected them to play.
gtuncdc

Not sure what else there is to say, but I am still proud of our defense's performance. After the first turnover on downs we held their offense to a punt, allowed a TD on terrible field position, allowed a TD on not-good field position, and held them to a field goal. Our offense was just unable to do anything after getting stopped on the goal line.