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Our final preseason ratings from The Binion Index are here!
The numbers have shifted a good bit over the course of the offseason because I’ve been doing a good bit of back testing and refinement. I’m happy with where the numbers ended up and look forward to seeing how they perform this year! Here are the team by team ratings. Remember, to get a game projection, subtract the two team ratings, and add 2.5 points to the home team.
Week 1 Ratings from The Binion Index
| Team | Week1_Rating |
|---|---|
| Team | Week1_Rating |
| Alabama | 26.2 |
| Georgia | 21.3 |
| Ohio State | 20.1 |
| Clemson | 17.3 |
| BYU | 14.9 |
| Oklahoma | 13 |
| Wisconsin | 12.6 |
| UAB | 11.6 |
| Mississippi State | 11.2 |
| Cincinnati | 11.1 |
| Tennessee | 10.7 |
| Notre Dame | 10 |
| Utah | 9.8 |
| TCU | 9.5 |
| Texas A&M | 9.5 |
| Michigan | 9.4 |
| Minnesota | 9.4 |
| Miami | 8.7 |
| Florida | 8.1 |
| LSU | 7.7 |
| Air Force | 7.7 |
| Auburn | 7.6 |
| Penn State | 7.2 |
| Fresno State | 6.9 |
| Pittsburgh | 6.6 |
| SMU | 6.3 |
| Texas | 6.2 |
| UCF | 6.1 |
| Ole Miss | 6 |
| Arkansas | 5.9 |
| Arizona State | 5.9 |
| Washington | 5.9 |
| Baylor | 5.8 |
| North Carolina | 5.7 |
| Oklahoma State | 5.7 |
| Kentucky | 5.6 |
| NC State | 5.5 |
| Michigan State | 5.4 |
| Iowa | 5.2 |
| Oregon | 5.1 |
| Appalachian State | 5.1 |
| Nebraska | 4.8 |
| Kansas State | 4.4 |
| Purdue | 4.3 |
| Toledo | 4.3 |
| Boise State | 4 |
| Louisville | 3.9 |
| Tulane | 3.8 |
| Florida State | 3.8 |
| Oregon State | 3.3 |
| Tulsa | 3 |
| Iowa State | 2.9 |
| Texas Tech | 2.9 |
| USC | 2.8 |
| UCLA | 2.4 |
| Houston | 2.3 |
| South Carolina | 2.3 |
| Georgia State | 1.9 |
| Army | 1.6 |
| Western Michigan | 1.5 |
| Maryland | 1.5 |
| Missouri | 1.4 |
| Syracuse | 1.1 |
| Western Kentucky | 0.9 |
| Wake Forest | 0.7 |
| Liberty | 0.7 |
| Coastal Carolina | -0.6 |
| Louisiana | -0.6 |
| Virginia | -0.9 |
| Stanford | -0.9 |
| Northwestern | -1 |
| Virginia Tech | -1.1 |
| Troy | -1.5 |
| Georgia Southern | -1.7 |
| UT San Antonio | -1.9 |
| Indiana | -2 |
| Florida Atlantic | -2.7 |
| San Diego State | -2.9 |
| Marshall | -3 |
| Miami (OH) | -3.2 |
| West Virginia | -3.3 |
| Northern Illinois | -3.3 |
| Southern Mississippi | -3.7 |
| East Carolina | -4 |
| Ohio | -4.2 |
| Boston College | -4.2 |
| Illinois | -4.2 |
| James Madison | -4.3 |
| North Texas | -4.4 |
| Old Dominion | -4.8 |
| Navy | -4.8 |
| Kent State | -5.2 |
| California | -5.2 |
| UTEP | -5.3 |
| Kansas | -5.4 |
| Central Michigan | -5.5 |
| Washington State | -5.6 |
| San José State | -6 |
| Arizona | -6.3 |
| South Alabama | -6.6 |
| Memphis | -6.7 |
| Eastern Michigan | -6.7 |
| Colorado | -6.8 |
| Buffalo | -7 |
| South Florida | -7.1 |
| Rutgers | -7.3 |
| Charlotte | -7.9 |
| Nevada | -8 |
| Colorado State | -8.1 |
| Georgia Tech | -8.6 |
| Duke | -8.6 |
| Arkansas State | -8.8 |
| Vanderbilt | -8.9 |
| Utah State | -10 |
| Wyoming | -10.5 |
| Louisiana Tech | -10.7 |
| Ball State | -10.8 |
| UNLV | -10.8 |
| New Mexico | -11 |
| Rice | -11.6 |
| Temple | -12.4 |
| Louisiana Monroe | -14 |
| Texas State | -14.2 |
| Bowling Green | -14.5 |
| Hawai'i | -14.6 |
| Florida International | -14.9 |
| Middle Tennessee | -15 |
| Akron | -15.5 |
| Connecticut | -17.9 |
| New Mexico State | -18.1 |
| UMass | -23.5 |
With the final ratings in place, here’s one final win total projection for each team, compared to the Fan Duel total as of August 18th.
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It’s time for some football!
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