FanPost

Say what you want about Paul Johnson's option offense...

...but his teams consistently punched above their NFL draft weight!

Here is a table listing number of players drafted by the NFL over the last 25 years, along with a crude estimate of the expected win% given than talent level, the actual win%, and the difference expressed in terms of games per season:

Team #Draft Expected% Actual% +/-
Ga Tech 49 0.383 0.564 +2.2
Duke 12 0.157 0.329 +2.1
Wake 31 0.273 0.438 +2.0
Louisville 62 0.432 0.614 +1.8
BC 57 0.432 0.546 +1.4
Pitt 54 0.413 0.516 +1.2
Syracuse 51 0.395 0.486 +1.1
VT 93 0.652 0.708 +0.7
NC State 68 0.499 0.531 +0.4
UVA 66 0.487 0.514 +0.3
Clemson 96 0.670 0.690 +0.2
UNC 88 0.621 0.495 -1.5
FSU 147 0.982 0.726 -3.1
Miami 138 0.927 0.670 -3.1

GT option offense at work
Here's how you read this table:
At the top is Georgia Tech, who had 49 NFL draft picks over the last 25 years. You would expect a team with just under 2 NFL players per season to win about 38.3% of its games - but somehow [ahem, triple-option] managed to win 56.4% of them instead - or +2.2 wins more than you'd expect a team with that level of talent to win. No surprise that Duke and Wake also overachieve because, hey, they just don't get a lot of NFL players!

https://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2020/04/doing-more-with-less-and-vice-versa.html

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