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ACC Check In: Week 8

Taking stock of the conference this week

Win Total Projections

accweek8

  • FSU is the clear conference favorite right now. They have played 1 less conference game than Clemson, Clemson has to play 3 out of the top 4 teams in the conference (themselves being the other), and they are rated as the best team in the conference by my model.
  • Georgia Tech is projected to have the lowest conference wins of any team yet. Probably has to do with being 0-4 in the conference....
  • Pitt is projected to have more wins than any other coastal team, however Duke has better odds to end with 7 or 8 conference wins.

Conference Ranks

Team NCAA Rank Overall Offense Defense
Florida State 4 15.8 6.5 -9.3
Miami (Florida) 22 10.9 7.9 -3.0
Clemson 24 10.5 2.2 -8.3
North Carolina State 32 8.2 5.4 -2.8
Duke 33 8.2 -1.6 -9.7
Boston College 41 6.4 -4.9 -11.3
North Carolina 46 4.8 2.4 -2.5
Pittsburgh 47 4.7 1.3 -3.4
Syracuse 58 2.5 0.9 -1.6
Louisville 59 2.2 -3.3 -5.5
Georgia Tech 66 0.9 3.5 2.7
Virginia Tech 76 -0.3 -2.6 -2.3
Wake Forest 99 -5.7 -8.8 -3.2
Virginia 114 -10.3 -4.7 5.6

  • Boston College's defense is crazy good, and Duke's! BC is rated as the 3rd best defense in the country and Duke's is 5th. And it's not just MELLS. S&P+ has them in the exact same positions. Clemson's and FSU's D ain't no joke either. The ACC has 4 out of the top 10 defenses in the country right now.
  • Our offenses are less tame, Miami's is rated as the best which, seems odd? I'll have to check what the reasoning behind that is.
  • Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech are bring up the rear of capable teams. Talk about a crazy season.

Week 8 Predictions

week8pred

  • Wow, even though it is a home game I'm stunned to see Miami as a favorite over Clemson. Boston College vs Louisville is a toss up and Syracuse is actually favored in their game against Pitt.