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Advanced Box Score: Virginia Tech

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Taking an in-depth look at last week's contest.

Michael Shroyer

Each Week FTRS will take apart the traditional box score and present our readers with the key insights on how the game was played. You can view all the Advanced Box Score stories in the Football Analytics Story Stream. For any questions about the metrics listed below please first refer to the Advanced Stats Glossary for definitions.

There won't be much analysis this week, but reviewing the numbers shows we still have a lot to improve upon.

Advanced Box Score

Georgia Tech 27 - Virginia Tech 24
Passing Downs Quarter Performance
GT VT GT VT
Plays 22 21 Yards / Play Success Rate Yards / Play Success Rate
Yards / Play 7.59 6.62 Q1 5.67 33% 5.36 37%
Success Rate 32% 38% Q2 7.12 53% 7.00 64%
Standard Downs Q3 6.08 38% 4.25 44%
GT VT Q4 5.35 35% 6.38 75%
Plays 40 52 Down Performance
Yards / Play 5.2 5.48 GT VT
Success Rate 45% 62% Yards / Play Success Rate Yards / Play Success Rate
Passing Plays 1 4.61 36% 6.74 60%
GT VT 2 9.1 50% 2.92 46%
Plays 19 40 3 3.75 33% 8.43 57%
Yards / Play 6.37 7.22 4 9.5 50% - -
Success Rate 32% 58% Drive Performance
Sack Rate (SD / PD) 0.0% / 4.5% 0.0% / 4.8% Num Drives Avg Start Spot % Methodical % Explosive
Running Plays GT 11 72.64 9% 9%
GT VT VT 12 68.42 25% 8%
Plays 43 33 % of Possible Yards Gained GT: 42% VT: 47%
Yards / Play 5.91 4.1 Georgia Tech Hidden Yards -46.42
Success Rate 44% 52% Turnovers GT: 1 VT: 3

  • Our defense has got to improve on its ability to consistently stop teams. A 57% success rate on third downs is just awful.

Win Probability Chart

Vtgtwp_medium

Well that was fun, huh? Here are the 5 biggest plays of the game according to the win probability added in each play. I excluded the game winning field goal because my model usually don't consider the change in win probability from the last play, but it technically would have been the 2nd biggest play in terms of win probability added.

Offense Quarter Down Distance Spot WP Play Description WPA
VT 4 2 21 VT 36 .856 Paul Davis Interception, returned 41 yards for Touchdown - .374
GT 4 2 10 GT 31 .195 Justin Thomas 31 yard pass to DeAndre Smelter, Touchdown + .282
VT 4 1 10 VT 31 .656 LUCKIEST PLAY EVER + .231
VT 4 1 10 VT 25 .618 Michael Brewer Intercepted by D.J. White - .222
VT 1 3 12 VT 48 .466 Michael Brewer pass to Cam Phillips for 22 yards + .121

Drive Chart

Vtgtdc_medium

We only forced three punts in this game, but also ended three of their drives with a turnover.

Just a sloppy and wild game all around.

I'm going to have to skip on the analysis this week, so I'll leave that up to you readers. Any thoughts, observations, or insights gleaned from these charts? Put them in the comments.