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Over/Under 8.5 Pass Completions for Georgia Tech
Actual Number: 7 Completions
This was the second-worst line collectively, with only 23% hitting on it. There's really not a good reason for that either -- Vad Lee threw 24 passes, of which there's no reason he couldn't have completed 9. Well, except that he was having a rough game, as was the O-Line in front of him.
Over/Under 300 Yards Rushing for Georgia Tech
Actual Number: 129 Rushing Yards
Not only did Georgia Tech go under 300 yards, they went wayyyy under 300 yards. As in, didn't even make it halfway there. Again, it was an ugly game for blockers, and a magnificent game for Bud Foster and his crew. Disappointing no doubt, but it is what it is.
Over/Under 55% Passing for Logan Thomas
Actual Number: 76%
Yeah, this is where I start questioning how good I am at making lines versus how weird of a game this was. Logan Thomas had 26 attempts against Alabama and only completed 5. He had 25 attempts against us and only missed on 6. Is this dude a wizard? Interesting too because this number was so stupidly above the line, and yet only 2 folks picked it right for a 9% success rate. It's too bad I'm not an actual bookie, because I would have made a boatload of money off of that one.
Over/Under 1.5 Turnovers for Georgia Tech's Offense
Actual Number: 3* Turnovers
I put an asterisk there because we can't be certain that Georgia Tech actually turned the ball over thrice. Yes, there was the fumble on Tech's first drive that led to a 2-play Hokie touchdown drive, and yes, the final drive ended with an interception, but then there was the other one. The second drive of the game saw Brandon Facyson (if you recognize that name, it's because we recruited him hard last year) intercept a Vad Lee pass on what neither I nor the refs can decide was a great play or a combination of showmanship and poor camera angles. In any case, it went in the books as the second turnover of the night for Georgia Tech. It was a devastating one too -- this was the second most successful drive of the night yards-wise.
Over/Under 165 Rushing Yards for Virginia Tech's Offense
Actual Number: 59 Rushing Yards
This is one spot of pride for the Yellow Jackets in this game. The Hokies weren't able to get anything going on the ground, rushing 25 times for 59 yards, an average of under 2.5 yards per carry. Their only real offensive success came through the air, even though that wasn't wildly successful either. The Georgia Tech offense was pretty awful Thursday. The same cannot be said about the Georgia Tech defense -- they're looking like a big-time unit so far this year.
Over/Under 7.5 Point Margin of Victory for Georgia Tech
Actual Number: -7 Point Margin of Victory
Again, I'm not sure, but I'm thinking that this game was just wildly against everyone's expectations. Sure, we're all confident in our own team, but it's telling when a lot of Hokie fans were picking our team too. It was a rough game, and we just have to move on.
Weekly Shout-Outs
We have a new leader! pulindian broke a tie with Dive Keep and Pitch with his 5-1 performance, and now has a 3-pick lead over DKP, packerman, and richman0610. His record of 21-3 is something I consider a challenge, and one that I probably will not win.
Congrats to packerman for his perfect 6-0 picks of this week, although I think you'll agree he said it best.
Being right has never felt worse.
-packerman, Sept 26 11:10pm
This week's LVPs are jabbajacket & The_GT_LineageX11, who each went 1-5. Make no mistake though, they both still have 10 correct picks on the season, though The_GT_LineageX11 holds the tiebreaker with a 50% success rate.
Finally, I want to point out kizzak, who was the only picker outside of packerman to correctly pick Logan Thomas to go over 55% passing. What do you know that we don't?
This Week's Results
| Correct | Incorrect | Percent | User | Correct | Incorrect | Percent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| packerman | 6 | 0 | 100% | Buddy Smiggins | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| pulindian | 5 | 1 | 83% | ClavinCliff | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| selwonk | 5 | 1 | 83% | Dive Keep and Pitch | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| jchens_GT | 4 | 2 | 67% | Joey Weaver | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| kizzak | 4 | 2 | 67% | MagnaCarterGT | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| richman0610 | 4 | 2 | 67% | pswole GT | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| AugustaJacket | 3 | 3 | 50% | jabbajacket | 1 | 5 | 17% |
| dhbartlett | 3 | 3 | 50% | The_GT_LineageX11 | 1 | 5 | 17% |
| GTJonny | 3 | 3 | 50% | Dwalk1217 | - | - | 0% |
| JacksonJacket | 3 | 3 | 50% | Matt Mills | - | - | 0% |
| JohnHeisman | 3 | 3 | 50% | mrnuttle | - | - | 0% |
| 4Natlchamps | 2 | 4 | 33% | PeterInVA | - | - | 0% |
| acedarney | 2 | 4 | 33% | tdot6 | - | - | 0% |
| Atlanta's original team | 2 | 4 | 33% | zachwreck | - | - | 0% |
Weekly Entrant Success Rate: 47.7% (63-69)
Week 4 Leaderboard
| Correct | Incorrect | Percentage | User | Correct | Incorrect | Percentage | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pulindian | 21 | 3 | 87.5% | MagnaCarterGT | 10 | 8 | 55.6% |
| Dive Keep and Pitch | 18 | 6 | 75.0% | The_GT_LineageX11 | 10 | 10 | 50.0% |
| packerman | 18 | 6 | 75.0% | jabbajacket | 10 | 12 | 45.5% |
| richman0610 | 18 | 6 | 75.0% | JohnHeisman | 9 | 9 | 50.0% |
| dhbartlett | 15 | 9 | 62.5% | PeterInVA | 9 | 9 | 50.0% |
| jchens_GT | 14 | 4 | 77.8% | kizzak | 8 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Joey Weaver | 14 | 10 | 58.3% | 4Natlchamps | 8 | 10 | 44.4% |
| ClavinCliff | 12 | 12 | 50.0% | pswole GT | 8 | 10 | 44.4% |
| JacksonJacket | 12 | 12 | 50.0% | acedarney | 7 | 5 | 58.3% |
| Buddy Smiggins | 11 | 7 | 61.1% | Dwalk1217 | 3 | 3 | 50.0% |
| GTJonny | 11 | 7 | 61.1% | Matt Mills | 3 | 3 | 50.0% |
| selwonk | 10 | 2 | 83.3% | zachwreck | 3 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Atlanta's original team | 10 | 8 | 55.6% | mrnuttle | 2 | 4 | 33.3% |
| AugustaJacket | 10 | 8 | 55.6% | tdot6 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Season Entrant Success Rate: 59.9% (281-188)
This concludes Week 4. Hopefully Week 5 is better to all of us, in every way possible.
Link to the spreadsheet being used to track these, as well as my weekend selections: click.