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We are two-thirds of the way through the entire season and halfway through ACC play. How well are the Jackets really playing? And is there any hope going forward of ending with a respectable conference record?
We have flown through the first half of our ACC schedule, so let's take a pause and look at the team's stats in ACC play and do a few comparisons to what we saw before that game against Miami in McCamish. If you need any definitions/formulas for statistics I use below, I made a handy glossary here. Players are sorted by minutes played and I have highlighted the best player in each important category for easier reading (limited to players averaging at least 15 MPG, meaning Brandon Reed and up.)
|Robert Carter Jr.||34
|Stacey Poole Jr.||5
This has a lot of interesting stats to pick out. Our most accurate 3 point shooter is our starting power forward?! This is awesome, and it isn't because the other guys can't shoot. Overall, our 3 point shooting is pretty good. Either Marcus is struggling to find his stroke from 3 in ACC play or he should take less of them. He is the only guy who shoots too many for his percentage. Our FT% as a team is not very good. Mfon has really improved over last year, so we can only hope that he and Gregory will stress this to the younger guys and the numbers will improve in the coming games. Again, if MGH can improve his FT%, his scoring production will really rise, as he gets to the line at the second highest rate on the team. Our effective field goal percentage and true shooting percentage pass the eye test, as we are always stressing getting the ball inside, where, it so happens, our 3 most effective scorers operate. These stats are always skewed towards favoring bigs, so it is important to separate the bigs and the wing players when we use these 2 statistics. We can see that Chris Bolden is our most effective wing scorer, certainly a factor in him holding down the starting job over the more experienced Brandon Reed.
|Robert Carter Jr.||17||40||57||.10768||.1874||.1311||7||.0278|
|Stacey Poole Jr.||3||8||11||.0625||.1727||.1166||1||.0183|
There are some interesting things in this table to discuss. First, we can see that Kam Holsey is our most effective offensive rebounder and Daniel Miller is the best one on the defensive end, as well as overall. Miller is also our most effective shot blocker, and we have seen Kam and Robert contribute to this stat as well. A concerning stat here is that we are clearly getting outrebounded overall, since the team's total rebound percentage is .4813 (less than half of all of the available rebounds.) Also, our DRB% is 69.54%, which means our opponents are grabbing 30.46% of the rebounds available at their offensive end of the court. This issue has mostly cropped up early in games (1st half @ Clemson, first 10 minutes vs FSU.)
Assists, Steals and Turnovers
|Robert Carter Jr.||7||6||18||0.39||.0620||.0608||.0312||.0270||.1594|
|Stacey Poole Jr.||6||2||4||1.50||.2111||.2192||.1231||.0415||.1407|
DING DING DING!!! We found some issues! Daniel Miller is an above average passer for a center, but I don't think he is the second coming of Bill Walton. There is a real problem when our leader in assists, no matter how you measure it, is our starting center. As I note in the glossary, my favorite assist percentage is the Pomeroy Assist Ratio (pAST%.) Here, it is showing us that 3 of our starting 5 are pretty unselfish guys, with Miller, Udofia and Bolden all assisting on more than 12.5% of the field goals the other 4 guys make while they are on the court. The assist-to-turnover ratio is probably the second most useful statistic here. If we combine the assists and turnovers of our point guards, the ratio comes to .935, which is really poor. There may be mitigating factors here, since the offense utilizes a lot of ball movement and does not rely on a point guard to create (a la Quinn Cook at Duke,) but this is still an unacceptably low ratio and is certainly a contributing factor in our close losses. Some of these don't make sense as team stats, so I excluded those values.
Minutes Per Game Comparison
|Player||NonConference MPG||Conference MPG|
|Robert Carter Jr.||24.8
|Stacey Poole Jr.||12.3
You can see that Chris Bolden has seen the biggest change in minutes between the first 12 games and the last nine. He has mostly gotten those minutes at the expense of Jason Morris' injury, but has also taken playing time away from Brandon Reed. Pierre Jordan has been playing a little less, with his minutes going to a fairly even split between Solomon and Mfon. Stacey's MPG has also dropped, mostly being eaten up by MGH playing for longer periods of the game.
If any of y'all have made it this far, you can ask whatever questions you have in the comments. I can probably get whatever stat you would like to see - for the season, nonconference and/or conference play, if you just let me know what to dig up.