FanPost

ACC Coastal Division Scenarios

Kevin Liles-USA TODAY Sports

First, ACC tiebreaker rules are here. This part is important, and I think (?) new:

(Three team (or more) tiebreaker procedure will be used to break all ties to identify the Championship game representative. Once a team is eliminated from the tie, the tie-breaking procedures restart for the remaining teams. If the three (or more) team tie can only be reduced to two teams, the two-team tiebreaking procedure will then be applied).

Here is the remaining ACC schedule for the Coastal teams with any shot:

GT - @Clemson

Miami - VT, @Duke, UVA, @Pitt

VT - @Miami, UMD, @UVA

Duke - NCST, Miami, @WF, @UNC

Pitt - UNC, @Cuse, Miami

UNC - UVA, @Pitt, Duke

Scenario 1 (Status Quo):

Miami wins out.

Miami wins the division at 7-1.

Scenario 2 (Slightly Realistic 6-2):

Georgia Tech beats Clemson, Virginia Tech beats Miami, Hokies and Canes win out after that.

This gets a 3-way tie for 1st at 6-2. Under the above rule, Georgia Tech is eliminated and Virginia Tech wins on head-to-head against Miami.

Scenario 3 (Silly 6-2):

Georgia Tech beats Clemson, Duke wins out, Miami loses to Duke.

3-way tie at 6-2, all teams 1-1 among the group. Going to tiebreaker #2, Miami would win by having the best divisional winning % by going 5-1 against the Coastal while the others are 4-2.

Scenario 4 (More Silly 6-2):

Georgia Tech beats Clemson, Virginia Tech and Duke win out. Exactly the same as above, but replace "Miami" with "Virginia Tech".

Scenario 5 (Other 6-2s):

There are a variety of 2-team 6-2 scenarios that can happen. They'll all get shaken out over the next 2 weeks.

The 5-3 Cluster:

My original plan for this was to figure out the 5-3 scenarios, but, well it turns out that pretty much everyone except GT has too many games left to do it easily. The problem with 5-3 is that there are still scenarios where Pitt or UNC (thanksfully not both thanks to that game in 2 weeks) get involved, and things can just get too crazy. Probably just best to revisit this in 2 weeks if it is still even possible.

The Bottom Line:

GT is practically (but not mathematically) eliminated from winning the Coastal by virtue of losing to both VT and Miami.

If we beat Clemson, we just have to hope for Miami to implode down the stretch and VT to pick up another loss somewhere. Any 6-2 scenario except a tie with Duke alone, we lose. VT and Miami still control their own destiny.

If we lose to Clemson, it would take a pretty incredible series of events to win the Coastal. If this is even remotely possible after the games of 11/16, I'll come back and calculate some of them then. If nothing else, it will eliminate the Pitt-UNC loser.

FanPosts do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the FTRS writing staff, and are spotlighted purely to create discussion.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join From The Rumble Seat

You must be a member of From The Rumble Seat to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at From The Rumble Seat. You should read them.

Join From The Rumble Seat

You must be a member of From The Rumble Seat to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at From The Rumble Seat. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker