Georgia Tech Football: Over/Unders vs Syracuse Orange

"I got this." - Gene Sweeney Jr.

After three straight losses, your optimism is being put to the test this weekend.

Ed. Note: Apologies for the lack of a "results" post after last week. We had fall break last weekend and I was on vacation -- I thought I'd earned a bit of a vacation especially after Saturday's showing. I'll update the results and put them in this post though!

Over/Under 1.5 Interceptions for Georgia Tech's Defense

Syracuse QBs have combined this season to throw for 12 INTs and only 9 TDs. In other words, if you were wondering where their offensive strengths lie, it's not really here. I would contend that the front 7 is the strength of Georgia Tech's defense, and if Syracuse can't get the running game going, they'll be forced to air it out. That could be bad news for them. However, our secondary is a little understaffed at the moment to say the least, meaning this could all have some weird implications. I think Tech's defense comes out ready to play and picks off 2 passes, even with the circumstances.

Over 1.5 Interceptions for Georgia Tech's Defense

Over/Under 18.5 Pass Attempts for Georgia Tech

So here's where the fun starts. In their 3 wins, Georgia Tech has averaged 13 passing attempts per game. In their 3 losses, Georgia Tech has averaged 22 passing attempts per game. Now, that said, there's no direct indication that throwing more than 15 times in a game guarantees a loss. The numbers just turn out that way. In fact, if they do hit a rhythm, Paul Johnson might just let the flying circus loose and let them sling it around a while. However, I don't see that being the case. I think Georgia Tech wins this game, but I think they do it with about 20 pass attempts, just based on more recent trends.

Over 18.5 Georgia Tech Pass Attempts

Over/Under 4.5 Yards Per Carry for Georgia Tech

Back to the numbers. In victories, the Jackets are averaging 5.72 yards per carry, while they average a mere 4.49 yards per carry in losses -- and that's heavily inflated by their 5.4 yards per carry against Miami. Even against BYU, the Jackets ran for 4.57 per carry, but then consider that Matt Connors had a 55 yard carry with less than 2 minutes to go, and without it Tech rushed for about 3.6 yards per carry. On the other side of things Syracuse has allowed their opponents 4 yards per carry only twice, and yet at the same time this is their first time facing a live attack the likes of Georgia Tech. I'm torn here. We need to win, and I think we'll look better at home, and I think there'll be a bit of growing pain for Syracuse's defense against our offense, and yet I think we come up short of 4.5 per carry.

Under 4.5 Yards Per Carry for Georgia Tech

Over/Under 54.5 Combined Points for Georgia Tech and Syracuse

I found this line to be interesting. For those unaware, with this line, if Georgia Tech wins 49-0, then the outcome is "Under" (49 + 0 = 49 < 54.5), while a 28-27 Georgia Tech victory yields an outcome of "Over" (28 + 27 = 55 > 54.5). Now, in six games, Syracuse has scored 28 points or more only twice, and those came against Wagner and Tulane. Georgia Tech's defense is ranked 37th nationally, which is better than 4 of the 6 opponents Syracuse has taken on -- exceptions being Clemson and North Carolina State which Syracuse combined to score 38 points against. I think if Georgia Tech can score 28 points, they'll win the game. If they can't manage 17, they'll lose. My prediction comes later, but...

Under 54.5 Combined Points

Over/Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns for Georgia Tech

In their past 3 games the Yellow Jackets have a total of one passing touchdown, with that coming from Justin Thomas to Deon Hill in garbage time in Provo. Again, we look to the "statistical Jekyll & Hyde" that is Georgia Tech between wins and losses, and see that we have 7 TDs passing in wins, with just that single semi-meaningless one in losses. I have to think we pull one off on Saturday, especially against Syracuse's vulnerable secondary.

Over 0.5 Georgia Tech Passing Touchdowns

Over/Under 7.5 Point Margin of Victory for Georgia Tech

It's the moment of truth, right? This is it. We're standing at the top of a very high cliff, looking right over, and thinking about jumping. A poor performance on Saturday, and there won't be many of us left that haven't jumped. (Personally, I'm like a perma-optimist, and so I might as well be considering Tech's national championship hopes at the moment. But I digress.) This is a must-win game if there ever was one, considering that we need 4 more wins, and still have to travel to Charlottesville, have to take on Pittsburgh, have to go to Clemson, and have to face uga. If there are 3 wins outside of the Alabama A&M gimme, it has to start Saturday. I think it does. I think Tech covers and wins, and that we all take a deep breath and relax for a minute after this weekend. Or at least God, I hope so.

Georgia Tech 27, Syracuse 17

Over 7.5 Point Margin of Victory for Georgia Tech

Current Leaderboard, with BYU Results

Quick commentary: Good grief, pulindian and DKP, where do you guys do your crystal ball shopping? You're a combined 48-12...am I really making it that easy?

Season Totals BYU
User Correct Incorrect Percentage Correct Incorrect Percentage
pulindian 25 5 83.3% 5 1 83.3%
Dive Keep and Pitch 23 7 76.7% 5 1 83.3%
richman0610 21 9 70.0% 4 2 66.7%
packerman 20 10 66.7% 3 3 50.0%
Joey Weaver 17 13 56.7% 3 3 50.0%
GTJonny 15 9 62.5% 1 5 16.7%
ClavinCliff 15 15 50.0% 3 3 50.0%
dhbartlett 15 15 50.0% 3 3 50.0%
jchens_GT 14 4 77.8% 0 0 0.0%
The_GT_LineageX11 14 11 56.0% 3 3 50.0%
JacksonJacket 14 16 46.7% 4 2 66.7%
PeterInVA 14 16 46.7% 4 2 66.7%
AugustaJacket 13 11 54.2% 2 4 33.3%
Buddy Smiggins 13 11 54.2% 2 4 33.3%
Atlanta's original team 12 12 50.0% 4 1 80.0%
jabbajacket 12 16 42.9% 2 4 33.3%
acedarney 11 7 61.1% 5 1 83.3%
JohnHeisman 11 13 45.8% 2 4 33.3%
selwonk 10 2 83.3% 0 0 0.0%
MagnaCarterGT 10 8 55.6% 0 0 0.0%
4Natlchamps 9 15 37.5% 0 0 0.0%
kizzak 8 4 66.7% 0 0 0.0%
pswole GT 8 10 44.4% 0 0 0.0%
mrnuttle 7 5 58.3% 3 3 50.0%
Dwalk1217 3 3 50.0% 0 0 0.0%
Matt Mills 3 3 50.0% 0 0 0.0%
zachwreck 3 3 50.0% 0 0 0.0%
GoalieLax 1 5 16.7% 0 0 0.0%
tdot6 0 1 0.0% 0 0 0.0%
Totals 337 256 56.8% 58 49 54.2%

Our last stand begins this weekend, Tech fans. How is it going to turn out?

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