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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Tajh Boyd's Favorite Target: Sammy Watkins

Too much tiger to tame.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

Sammy Watkins is leading the ACC in receiving touchdowns and receptions per game. He is averaging just over 15 yards per catch and is definitely Tajh Boyd's favorite target. Of the 287 times Tajh Boyd has let loose a forward pass, 82 of them were destined for Sammy Watkins' hands. Watkins hauled in 54 of those elusive butterflies with his giant nets for hands.
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The first thing I noticed about Sammy's stats, which I thought was peculiar, was how Clemson left him out in the clutch. Tajh targeted him at a higher frequency on the less critical downs and situations (~40% of targets on 1st down but only 20% of targets on proceeding downs). I'm not saying Georgie's 2010 offense should be the basis for all things good but A.J. Green was a good example of how an offense should go through its go-to guy in clutch situations. It appears as if Clemson is straying away from this philosophy.
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Probably the best explanation is that Clemson is not looking for Sammy to necessarily be clutch yet just merely explosive and get Clemson the big play every other down. To further illustrate my point think about these numbers from Clemson's #2 and #3 receiving threats Deandre Hopkins and Dwayne Allen. Allen has more 2nd down looks than Watkins and Allen and Hopkins both have about the same number of 3rd down looks at Watkins. There's no surprise that the tight end Allen has more looks than both Watkins and Hopkins when there's only 3 or fewer yards to gain a first down. And finally, in the red zone Sammy only has 5 looks while Allen has 14 and Hopkins has 10.
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There is no doubt that Sammy Watkins will cause match up problems for any team in the ACC and Clemson is using his abilities masterfully. He is a force to be reckoned with by any ACC defensive coordinator. Tajh Boyd understands this, which is why he lobs one up to Watkins every three and a half throws. Let's just hope the Tech secondary is prepared to play the deep ball against Watkins and the underneath ball against Allen and Hopkins...

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So what I hear you saying is . . .

Watkins is not a possession receiver. On 3rd or 4th down he is a decoy or a threat, perhaps to free up the clutch possession receivers.

This will be a serious test for our secondary. I expect that they will give up a few big plays. That is a given. What I hope is that they play consistently otherwise and don’t let any of the receivers get rolling toward a career day.

by Atlanta's original team on Oct 26, 2011 8:22 AM EDT reply actions  

pick your poison

You either give up the 40 td to watkins or the dink and dumps to allen and hopkins… Plus, you gotta play some zone to contain tajh. Hopefully, the rb’s will be depleted to help us focus on the pass d.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Oct 26, 2011 9:59 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Noticed this against UNC

They would throw a lot to Watkins on 1st or 2nd down…then on 3rd and short / med. yardage, they hit the tight end or a wide receiver 30 yards down the field. Is a dangerous offense. Let’s not forget though they had a hard time containing Wofford’s option attack.

by 071u on Oct 26, 2011 12:30 PM EDT reply actions  

If Furman can beat Wofford...

and Furman was destroyed by Georgia Southern and Clemson struggled with Wofford…then we CAN DESTROY CLEMSON!!! It’s almost too easy.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Oct 26, 2011 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I guess there's no reason to play the game then, huh?

We can just play half the season and fill in the rest.

Seriously though, I think we match up well against Clemson. Our secondary is a strength on this team. If we can control the running game (including Boyd) and get some production on offense, this will be a competitive game. The special teams need to at least be even though, because having to drive 20+ more yards for a score than your opponent won’t win you games.

by acedarney on Oct 26, 2011 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about 15 yard punts?

Can we win with those? If that’s possible, then I think we’ll be okay.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Oct 26, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

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