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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

ACC Team Scoring Efficiencies

Scoring_medium

The above chart is a breakdown of two different stats for each team of the ACC up to date with only ACC games included. The blue bars equate to the amount of points a team will net per minute of possession in ACC play. For example, Clemson is 1.05 points/min so if they hold the ball for 30 minutes in a game, their offense will accumulate 31.39 points. This accounts for turnovers resulting in points for opposing teams as well.

The red bar is the opposite of the blue. It accounts for how many points a team's defense will give up per minute of the opposing team's time of possession. For example, GT gives up 0.63 points per opposing time of possession minute in ACC play so if the opponent held the ball for 30 minutes and 1 second, they should theoretically net only 18.91 points. Like the offensive blue bar stat, this awards defenses for scoring TD's as well.

The green line is the difference between the two with a separate scale on the right highlight in green. The green line isn't terribly important besides the fact that the closer a team is to "0" on the green scale, the more critical dominating time of possession becomes. If a team is allowing as much per minute as they're scoring per minute of possession, they need to control the clock. GT, Wake, Miami, UNC, UVA, and VT fall under this category. Duke, BC, and NC State are just out of it. Maryland, FSU, and Clemson don't care quite as much because their offenses score incredibly fast.

To me, this indicates (at least initially) that games involving GT, Wake, UNC, UVA, and VT should be relatively tight because most teams are going to get around 30 minutes TOP. We'll track this stat and see how the season progresses.

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So, if I am reading this graph correctly . . .

Tech’s ratio of offense to defense in terms of scoring by possession time is not that bad, kind of middle of the pack.
What I wonder is how this graph would have looked had there not been a dropped touchdown pass against NC and then a huge fall off in offensive production in subsequent games.

by Atlanta's original team on Oct 19, 2011 9:47 AM EDT reply actions  

It would look

better, of course. However, I think this is where Tech is. The early success of the passing game may have been more of a fluke against lesser opponents than anything. As long as Tech controls the time of possession, we should win the game. If it’s close to equal TOP, then the game will come down to the wire, as we’ve seen in recent weeks.

by acedarney on Oct 19, 2011 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Clemson and FSU look awful scary.

It would be interesting to see these graphs on a game-by-game basis. GT’s first few games would off the charts. After that, I imagine that GT’s net line would look a lot my investments as of late, down, down, down, and down some more.

by Dive Keep and Pitch on Oct 19, 2011 12:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Another interesting graph would be PPP

I have the data for GT, but have yet to attempt charting the rest of the ACC.

Offensively, we are averaging 0.63 points per play while averaging around 68 plays per game. That means that on average, it takes our offense roughly 10-11 plays to score 7 points and 66 plays to score 42. The defense is averaging 0.36 points per play while averaging 67 play per game. We are allowing opponents to score seven about every 19 plays and it would take about 116 plays for them to score 42 points.

Now, I started tracking this things for the purpose of comparing this year to last year’s team, and thus the season averages. What I should do from here is chart it game-by-game to see more recent and more relevant data. I’m willing to bet that looking at the data frmo that perspective would only go to further justify the importance of sustaining drives.

From The Rumble Seat -Drinkin' whiskey clear since 2008.

"You could spend the next fifteen seconds of your life watching a man and a tiger scream together, or you could be an idiot."
Fact.

by Jesse28 on Oct 21, 2011 8:38 AM EDT reply actions  

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