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Georgia Tech-UVA Preview of Doomsdayhappiness

Percent of Offensive Drives Resulting in turnovers, punts, field goal attempts, or TD's for the UVA offense in 2011.  Only 40% of the UVA offensive drives have resulted in a field goal attempt or TD as opposed to Tech (67% of all drives result in TD's or FG attempts).

Are you ready to get another moral defeat? That's Virginia. Tech fans are depressed. Virginia fans are generally concerned about being destroyed by Tech while Tech fans are moping about margins of victory, passing efficiency, and penalties.

I don't know if anyone realizes this but Tech is a top 15 passing defense with 7 picks and 15 sacks already. We only had 17 sacks and 8 interceptions in all of 2010. The secondary is playing very well. We're getting beat up on the ground but we're finally getting the momentum changing plays out of our defense that we've been lacking since the Dave W reign began.

No matter how you slice, we're not doing that bad on offense either. Over the course of the season we're #1 in 3rd down conversions (ahead of Wisconsin!) and we've only lost 5 fumbles as opposed to 20 in 2010. That's a 45% decrease in fumbles lost per game... Nice.

So looking at that info, let's look at the Wahoos. UVA is the 3rd best ACC squad in terms of total yards allowed per game. They've been equally effective at slowing the run and pass with their relatively rugged secondary featuring Chase Minnifield.

The issue for the 'Hoos has been the offense's lack of consistency. They're only converting 40% of their 3rd down attempts and are only scoring around 3 and half TD's per I-A game. They pile up the yardage but have struggled immensely with turnovers. Only FSU has a worse turnover margin in the ACC. Look for some ducks fluttering from their QB's arm on Saturday.

There's not much to say about UVA. They are a very middle of the road to below average squad. They've struggled with a lot of subpar competition this season. Tech should easily handle them. They aren't Kansas bad but they aren't nearly as good as NC State. Despite Tech's miscues and frustrating play as of late, I don't see Tech leaving with anything less than a 14 point victory. Tech 35-UVA 13.

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Part of being a great team is Expecting to Win...

I hope CPJ is beating this drum to our players, and I hope the practice malaise that we’ve heard about this week is not an issue. As CPJ said, to some level we were outcoached this past week…as 32 keeps from Tevin is evidence that, especially in the 2nd half, he didn’t know what to do with the ball when the DE was bearing in on him with the pitch man covered.

That being said, I am looking for big things out of our team…especially on defense. The one out-of-the-ordinary thing I’m going to predict this week is a kickoff return TD by Tony Zenon.

GT 38 UVA 20

by TBuzz on Oct 14, 2011 9:14 AM EDT reply actions  

…when the DE was bearing in on him with the pitch man covered

That usually means a busted play caused by a missed block. Though it can mean a poor playcall (Hey Coach, where’s the counter?)

by Dive Keep and Pitch on Oct 14, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

It wouldn't surprise me

if PJ was saving the best for last, so to speak. He hasn’t pulled any tricks in these past 2 games, I think there’s a reason for that.

Paul Johnson: not giving a crap about what you have to say since 1987.

by GTNate on Oct 14, 2011 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Our B-Back can throw the ball.

I am so excited about potential trick plays.

Go Jackets, go America.
THWG.

by JohnHeisman on Oct 14, 2011 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Love it.

This is the statistical analysis I was waiting for on this team. I’ve heard a lot of complaints from fans about our team…smh…but we’re 6-0. 2ndary is playing so much better than last year. We have given up some large running plays, but I attribute some of that to youth and injuries at some of the defensive positions. Overall I think this is a much better coached team playing as a cohesive unit than last year.

by 071u on Oct 14, 2011 9:25 AM EDT reply actions  

That's a lot of field goals

They haven’t scored a touchdown after receiving the ball inside the opponents 30 yard line? That’s odd.

by acedarney on Oct 14, 2011 11:58 AM EDT reply actions  

The first offensive play of the season

was a touchdown run from around the five after recovering a fumble.

by CraigT on Oct 14, 2011 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cavs drink ZIMA

Better to have died a small boy than to drop this football - John Heisman FromTheRumbleSeat

Twitter, twitter, twitter

by Winfield Featherston on Oct 14, 2011 12:09 PM EDT reply actions  

It must be vintage Zima

or imported-from-Japan Zima, since it hasn’t been made in the U.S. since 2008.

by CraigT on Oct 14, 2011 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

They have stockpiles

in the abandoned mines of the Shenandoah mountains.

by acedarney on Oct 15, 2011 7:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Or these

Paging Bruce Willis….

Come worship at the Heavy Metal Altar of Molten British Steel....
Come...Smoke with the Priest

by DressHerInWhiteAndGold on Oct 14, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

...

I deleted the spreadsheet already…The <100 category is 67 total drives. I think the less than 30 was only around 6 or 7.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Oct 14, 2011 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I deleted the spreadsheet already

And you call yourself an engineer?!

by Dive Keep and Pitch on Oct 14, 2011 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

meeehhhhhhh

stocks and bonds and cavaliers, mehhhhhhhh:

http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/01926/lulzsec_1926506c.jpg

Paul Johnson: not giving a crap about what you have to say since 1987.

by GTNate on Oct 14, 2011 2:40 PM EDT reply actions  

DAMMIT

I hate forgetting to add photos inline. now the joke’s ruined.

Paul Johnson: not giving a crap about what you have to say since 1987.

by GTNate on Oct 14, 2011 2:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Is this chart broken down by 10 yard buckets or as labeled

Should the bottom be labeled <10, 11-20, 21-30 or does <20 mean 0-20?

by PeterInVA on Oct 14, 2011 3:48 PM EDT reply actions  

I think it's the latter

but because someone deleted the spreadsheet, we’ll never know for sure.

by acedarney on Oct 15, 2011 7:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Good things happen in Charlottesville

http://youtu.be/6nlhMxx-vfQ

Come worship at the Heavy Metal Altar of Molten British Steel....
Come...Smoke with the Priest

by DressHerInWhiteAndGold on Oct 14, 2011 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Upset Special.

Don’t know if it’s been mentioned earlier, but I just saw that Stewart Mandel is picking us to lose 24-20 for his Upset Special. I like Mandel overall but I hope he’s wrong, of course.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2011/writers/stewart_mandel/10/14/week-7-pickoff/index.html?sct=cf_t11_a2

by The Bamboo Shaft on Oct 14, 2011 11:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Someone finally proved that GT is not so good afterall.

We all knew GT was going to lose eventually with the kind of aweful performances we’ve been seeing the past few games. My concern is, if UVA can hold our total offense to under 300 yards and dominate our defense with 20 yard run-gashes—How do we expect to win against better competition at Miami, Clemson, VT, and Georgia? My prediction: Today’s loss is the beginning of a decline for the rest of the season. GT will be lucky to go 7-5 this year in the regular season.

Why we lost? I guess the prognosticators were right about the extra week of preparation. GT has lost every bowl game since 2008. And we’ve gotten beaten by every team in the regular season that had extra time to prepare. One must really question the potency of an offense when its success seems to rely so heavily on the combination of its rarity and unfamiliarity to opponents. In the second place, Dang it!…I wish Johnson and Groh would start recruiting a fricking bigger defensive line. This ain’t a service academy! When are we going to start getting some 320 lb linemen to push? Third reason we lost—Will someone learn how to tackle please? When UVA had the ball, I felt like I was watching two-hand touch.

by Plunderman on Oct 15, 2011 7:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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