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Which ACC team has the toughest road to Charlotte?

It's kinda become my rule to use ACC records from 2005-2009 as a sort of defined cut off point. It gives me a non-arbitrary point to start that's not too far away and not necessarily fresh off the presses. The fully expanded ACC also provides us the division splits and ACC Championship Game, which I think has been fairly successful in keeping people interested in ACC football all the way through November. I also enjoy the insight from VT and BC fans when it comes to discussing ACC football.

The title of the story refers to the road to Charlotte's 2010 ACC Championship Game. And I thought it'd be interesting to look into the recent history of ACC homefield advantages and ACC road warriors to see which teams really have the easiest/toughest road to Charlotte. So, here's a quick look at which teams historically are the best and worst on the road and at home.

Star-divide

Roadys_medium


There are no surprises in there. VT's tied with Tech for the best home winning percentage in post-expansion ACC play. Since expansion, GT is the only team to rack up two undefeated home seasons in ACC play. VT, in contrast, is the only ACC team to rack up two undefeated road seasons in ACC play since 2005. From 2005-2009, there have only been 6 teams go undefeated at home in ACC play while there have been 9 teams to have lost all of their ACC road games in a season. The home field advantage is definitely present in the ACC as the home team holds a 138-102 advantage over road teams since expansion.

Roadys2_medium


After compiling all the home/road wins for each team from 2005-2009, the next step was to look at this season's ACC schedule. The matrix above shows each ACC team's opponent for each week of the ACC schedule (green highlight means road game). Tech's trips to Clemson, VT, UNC, and Wake make Tech's road schedule the 2nd most difficult in the ACC just behind Duke's (based on each team's post-expansion home winning percentage). Duke has to travel to Wake, Maryland, GT, and VT and unfortunately doesn't have a schedule that includes playing Duke (an SOS bomb).

We know you've all been griping about the home schedule. Hell, even I have been. Sadly, I'm here to throw more gas on the fire by telling you that Georgia Tech has the easiest home slate of all ACC teams (based on our home opponents' ACC road records). It's such an easy schedule at home that it makes our overall schedule the 3rd easiest in the ACC behind Maryland and VT (tied for easiest). Here's a look at the schedule rankings (1 is easy, 12 is hard):

Roadys3_medium


Before you go freakin' out and worrying about Tech's chances relative to VT, remember that the strength of schedule is a function not only of who is on your schedule but also who is not on your schedule. VT's schedule doesn't include VT (the best team from 2005-2009). GT's doesn't include GT and so on. So better teams are going to have "easier" schedules. Maryland just lucked out missing GT and VT on their schedule this year while NC State got the proverbial Swofford pimp slap by picking up GT/Clemson on the road and BC/VT at home.

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Clemson- before I read

This team will improve in '10... on its 16-16 conference record over the last 4 years.... after losing 20 games in the last 4 years... after having the 7th worst major-conference defense... after not even winning its own division in the ACC in the last 4.

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by Bud Elliott on Aug 30, 2010 8:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Really?

I’m kind of hoping that our defense will carry us through our early games like last year, and that the offense will click later on in the season (as per Dabo’s coaching years). I think we get the luck of the draw playing Miami and UNC early as their offenses want be as dynamic, though get screwed getting GT and FSU later on in the year when their offenses will be clicking.

Don't give up, don't ever give up ~ Jim Valvano

by AParker on Aug 30, 2010 9:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Based solely on your coastal Schedule

You don’t draw UNC or UVA.

This team will improve in '10... on its 16-16 conference record over the last 4 years.... after losing 20 games in the last 4 years... after having the 7th worst major-conference defense... after not even winning its own division in the ACC in the last 4.

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by Bud Elliott on Aug 30, 2010 10:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

What I need to figure out...

is how BC has such a good home winning percentage… I bet it’s the turf/temperature.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Aug 30, 2010 10:01 AM EDT reply actions  

Is that ACC win %

This team will improve in '10... on its 16-16 conference record over the last 4 years.... after losing 20 games in the last 4 years... after having the 7th worst major-conference defense... after not even winning its own division in the ACC in the last 4.

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by Bud Elliott on Aug 30, 2010 10:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

yeah

They are 15-5 since joining the ACC in home ACC games. Wake and Clemson trail at 13-7. The best in the ACC are GT and VT at 16-4.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Aug 30, 2010 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Would be interesting to see those 20 home games

Perhaps they got some teams at the right times (I’m thinking about Miami right at the start of the rebuilding)

This team will improve in '10... on its 16-16 conference record over the last 4 years.... after losing 20 games in the last 4 years... after having the 7th worst major-conference defense... after not even winning its own division in the ACC in the last 4.

Tomahawk Nation: Nole-Holds-Barred Analysis of FSU Sports!
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by Bud Elliott on Aug 30, 2010 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Four home losses are?

05 NCSU
06 -
07 BC, VT
08 UVA
09 -

The UVA game is the only one I missed. We never should have lost to State or UVA (I doubt I have ever been madder than I was after that NCSU game). BC and VT beat us pretty good in 07.

by GTwill on Aug 30, 2010 10:04 AM EDT reply actions  

NCSU really really sucked...

I agree. 8 road losses are all mostly excusable except MD and UVA in 07…

05 UVA, VT
06 CU
07 MD, UVA
08 VT, UNC
09 Miami

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Aug 30, 2010 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

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