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Around SBN: Bracketology 2012: Duke Finally Steps Up To The No. 1 Line

How has Tech fared defending NBA talent?

Lately, I've gotten a few requests from NBA team blogs to get some in depth information about Gani Lawal and Derrick Favors in build up to the June 24th NBA Draft. One of the first stats I started pulling was how Tech has fared against NBA talent because it shows that our players face top tier competition on a regular basis and it compares our players to said top tier talent.

Since the 2007-2008 season, Tech has faced off with 23 NBA lottery picks from 13 different universities. That's around 20% of the 120 NBA Draft picks since the 2008 Draft. By position, we've faced 11 guards, 11 forwards, and 1 center taken in the 2008 and 2009 NBA Drafts. By class, we've faced 3 freshmen, 3 sophomores, 6 juniors, and 11 seniors taken in the 2008 and 2009 NBA Drafts. Here's a breakdown of every NBA Draftee Tech has faced during the Gani Lawal Era.

Draftees_medium

So here's what I found after pulling all of those guys season stats and their performances against Tech: 15 of the 23 shot worse from behind the arc against Tech, 15 of the 23 scored less points than their season average, and 14 of the 23 collected less assists when playing Tech. On the flip side, 15 of the 23 shot better overall and 14 of the 23 rebounded more efficiently. To me, this would indicate we had good guard defense and poor big man defense. Breaking our defense down by position shows that the average big man shot better and rebounded more efficiently against Tech than on average. The average guard only increased his statistics in assists per minute category.

Looking ahead to the 2010 NBA Draft, I think it's safe to assume that several Tech opponents will be drafted. A quick run down of most mock drafts indicate Al-Farouq Aminu, Ed Davis, James Anderson, Solomon Alabi, Evan Turner, Dwayne Collins, Greivis Vasquez, Trevor Booker, and Jon Scheyer will be taken in the 2010 Draft. The table below indicates how each of these potential draftees performed against Tech with respect to their season average stats (net field goal %, net 3 point %, net rebounds/game, net assist:turnover ratio, and net points per game). So for example, Jon Scheyer shot 13% worse behind the arc against us than he did on the entire season but scored 1.8 more points per game against us than his season average.

Draftees2_medium

As you can see, there are few guys who'd like to play Tech more often (Trevor Booker) and some guys who really didn't play well against us (James Anderson). What do you think? Is it Paul Hewitt's coaching philosophy or favorable match ups? Where do you think Gani and Derrick will go in the Draft?

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Defensive philosophy

I think the stats play out to Hewitt’s defensive philosophy.

He likes to extend his defense pretty far out and tends to have long, athletic perimeter players. This makes it much more difficult for opponents to have time to set and shoot over tall, athletic guys who can cover ground.

Conversely, while he extends the perimeter that leaves more space in the lane for big men to operate with less traffic. He relies on his bigs to play man up defensively without alot of help.

RamblinRed

by RamblinRed on Apr 28, 2010 10:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Gani took a step backwards this year and he would have been smart to stay in school for his senior year and have a shot at being a lottery pick

by hallandnash on Apr 29, 2010 9:58 AM EDT reply actions  

It's a small sample size

but look at the ages of guys drafted. I put them in order of Draft order and there aren’t many upper classmen selected in the top of the Draft. The NBA Draft is all about getting out of college early. Truly depressing for a college bball fan.

Features of the Perfect Car: 201 cubic inch displacement, 40 horsepower, 3.77:1 drive ratio, single barrel carburetor, top speed of 65 mph

by BirdGT on Apr 29, 2010 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

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