A look back on Tech's Tournament seedings
by BirdGT on Mar 16, 2010 8:00 AM EDT
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Fans of the program know that the biggest disappointment was the 1993 season. We were a four seed upset by thirteen seed Southern University (SU's greatest tournament win ever). A tournament that's memorable in the worst kind of way.
Tech's lowest seedings ever have been the two most recent tournaments as a 10 seed (2007 & 2010). I took the liberty of graphing Tech's seeding compared to its finish in the tournament over the past 15 berths to the NCAA tournament. You should see a nice little trend following the idea that the higher the seed, the more we should expect from our tournament run.
Based on previous seedings, we exceeded expectations in 3 seasons, failed to meet expectations in 9 seasons, and met expectations in 3 seasons. So goes the nature of the tournament. As a 10 seed, we are in the 38.5% percentile range (the dumb kid range of the ITBS). Based on Tech's history (which is a very small domain), we shouldn't expect to get out of the first round. A win against OK State would be a victory based purely on Tech's historical seeding performance.
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Iowa Tests
Wow. A blast from the past!
Haven’t thought about them in maybe 15 years.
BC Interruption, a Boston College sports blog
You Tech guys
are wonderful with the statistics thing. But there is just one thing. Past record is no predictor of future performance. Each year was a different team. It is kind of like flipping a coin to see if ends up heads or tails. Theoretically you could go by past performance and figure accordingly given the 50/50 chances each time. However in this case we are choosing a new coin each time.
by Atlanta's original team on Mar 16, 2010 2:07 PM EDT reply actions
different teams but same coaches
Some coaches overachieve in the tournament while others underachieve (notably Coach K).
Also, I’m surprised no one noticed 1990 is in there twice. The one close to 50%/50% should be 1991…
I spun around... and there I was, face-to-face with a six-year old kid. Well, I just threw my guns down and walked away. Little bastard shot me in the ass.
Good point
but 2004 had the same coach……same coach but different team.
I’m really not arguing it is just that we Tech fans have a habit of expecting disaster. Repeated disappointment will do that. Think how long it took Tech fans to actually begin to expect Coach Johnson to win -even after he was winning. I guess I am really just arguing with myself. I don’t want to be disappointed again so I expect the worse. Past performances with most Tech teams proves that to be a fairly safe fall back position. But what if . . .
by Atlanta's original team on Mar 16, 2010 2:42 PM EDT reply actions
I am skeptical of CPJ still
Why? Because he did what CPH did. Took us REALLY far in his first couple seasons and we awarded him a mega contract that we have no way of buying out. I am worried football will become what basketball has become.
I spun around... and there I was, face-to-face with a six-year old kid. Well, I just threw my guns down and walked away. Little bastard shot me in the ass.
Oooh . . .
You are a worrier.
by Atlanta's original team on Mar 16, 2010 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Chan, AJ Suggs, Reggie, Taylor Bennett, Zam Frederick, Ra'Sean Dickey...
made me a worrier…
I spun around... and there I was, face-to-face with a six-year old kid. Well, I just threw my guns down and walked away. Little bastard shot me in the ass.
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