The Georgia Bulldogs And Third Down: The Scenario Of Crucial Significance
by Winfield Featherston on Nov 24, 2010 2:00 PM EST
in Georgia Tech Football
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PrintHow Does Georgia Distribute The Ball By Down?
Yesterday, Bird broke down the Georgia passing game. This morning, he told you how the Bulldogs distributed the ball for their running game. For this afternoon, I want to take a look at what Georgia does on 3rd down. Defending third down is crucial for the Yellow Jackets and casual observations lend me to believe that it is one of the greater weaknesses of Georgia Tech in 2010. All numbers, statistics and assumptions are based off of box scores or cfbstats.com. This week's opponent features a run-heavy offense on 1st and 2nd downs with the pass being the influence on 3rd down. With our known struggles on third-down, I believe that this down will continue to amass the crucial points in the game where the Jackets must take the advantage. Today, I will look at what georgie does on third down, how they convert, along with how our defense performs on third down.
70% of the time on 3rd down, georgia will pass the ball.
Below, we see the distribution. In short yardage situations, the Bulldogs are deadly accurate.
How does the Georgia Tech pass defense look in these similar situations?
Not quite what we wanted. The Yellow Jackets give up the necessary yards for the opponent to convert on third down a majority of the time. A.J. Green turned the uga offense around when he came back and he must be kept under wraps if the Tech defense wants to get off the field.
30% of the time on 3rd down georgia will run the ball for an average of 1.58 yards per carry.
The breakdown is as follows:
We see that georgie averages a conversion on short yardage situations and that the majority of these third down attempts are also made within these same scenarios. Naturally, the Jackets must remain tight on defense during first and second down to prevent these short yard, third down settings, and as we see below, Georgia Tech gets the job done fairly well in these situations.
Nothing new was revealed about the Georgia Tech defense this afternoon. Instead, we showed where the Bulldog offense flourished and floundered. Third down is absolutely critical for the Yellow Jackets should they want to remain competitive in the game. They must neutralize the passing situation.
Any thoughts?
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Doesn't look promising
It looks like Georgia’s strength is GT’s weakness. I forsee a lot of short passes over the middle to the TE for Georgia. That is, when the tailback isn’t running running through and around the defense. If I’m a Georgia fan, I’d be calling for Bobo’s head if Georgia’s offense does anything other than line up in an I-formation and hand the ball to the tailback.
On a different topic, I haven’t seen any discussion anywhere about facing Georgia’s 3-4 defense as opposed to a 4-3 defense. Has Washington ever faced a 3-4 other than in practice? Part of me wants to think that having Al Groh will help in the preparation, but the other part of me says that Grantham and Groh run different flavors of the 3-4 so Groh’s knowledge may not be a useful as it could have been. Of course, if Georgia is dominating the LOS, it won’t matter anyway.
by Dive Keep and Pitch on Nov 24, 2010 2:38 PM EST reply actions
The have a pretty bad defense also, which is why I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns in to a shootout. Assuming we don’t make mistake and/or turn the ball over. UGA is pretty soft up the middle, so I can see AA getting a lot of yards. That said, it will be tough stopping those guys. Last year, their strategy was to keep our offense off the field, and it worked. The difference this year is that they have a far more competent QB and a healthy AJ Green.
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