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Around SBN: Lance Berkman Could Have Torn ACL

Comparing CPJ's Rushing Attack From 2008-2010

Execution, turnovers, and sadness.  (Photo by Geoff Burke/Getty Images)

A lot of people are probably wondering, "WTF, why can't we win games like 2009?" Perhaps you're also wondering if we've dramatically changed our gameplan or are failing to execute CPJ's offense as well as we did in 2009 or 2008. The first numbers I'd like to throw at you are the carries per game of our feature running positions (QB, B-Back, and A-Back).

Gameplan1_medium

Basically, everyone's getting the same amount of carries per game as they in 2009. The next question for you should be, "Are they doing the same amount of damage per carry as they did in 2009?" The simple answer from me would be, "Yes, we've increased our yards per carry total by about 7%."

Gameplan2_medium

So now I want to go ahead and delve into an issue that gets brought up quite frequently after a loss. It is the idea that certain players or positions are the focus of winning efforts by opposing defenses. If you compared our losing and winning efforts in 2010, you'd see very little difference in production from the positions of the CPJ offense. In 2009, we see huge drop offs in losses.

Gameplan3_medium

What this tells me is that we're comfortable with our offense now as wins and losses are almost identical statistically. We're just not catching the breaks we got in 2009 (e.g. increased turnovers, poor field position, and bad special teams). We've lost as many fumbles as we did in 2009 in 29% less games. We've thrown one less interception than we did in 2009 and we still have 2 games plus a bowl game to go (hopefully). We're also punting at a higher frequency with a lower average than 2009. This all adds up to a down year compared to CPJ standards set in 2009.

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Good stuff. How about some more?

Is the offense scoring the same number of points this year as last year? The stats shown would suggest yes since yardage and plays appears to be the same, but I suspect that offensive scores are down by at least a touchdown a game.

It would be interesting to compare the field position when the offense got the ball to see if they are having more yards to go to reach the end zone.

It would also be interesting to see similar graphs that look at penalties committed by the offense. I suspect that this year we have a lot more 3rd and long situations that were caused in part by penalties. As you know, the secret to 3rd down conversion is to stay out of 3rd and long.

And since it’s easy for me to sit here and ask for the moon while you do all the hard work (keep it up!), we need some graphs showing defensive performance. Overall, I think the rankings suggest the defense hasn’t improved, but it would fun to see if it is the same problems as last year or if we’ve improved some areas at the expense of others.

Finally, inquiring minds want to know if Mario Butler is leading the NCAA in pass interference penalties. Lately, it seems like every time the denfense gets a stop, he bails out the opposing team with a (un)timely pass interference foul.

by Dive Keep and Pitch on Nov 16, 2010 9:13 AM EST reply actions  

Missing data...

You forgot to mention how many more penalties we have this year compared to last year, and our passing IN-efficiency this year.

Last year, we were top 10 in passing efficiency, this year, bottom ten.

So, turnovers, poor special teams, penalties, and poor passing has doom our offense this year.

by Beernutts on Nov 16, 2010 10:43 AM EST reply actions  

And

Where’s the passing? I’m sorry, but BeBe was just a key part of this offense last year as was Dwyer and Morgan. Excluding the passing from the offense isn’t telling the whole story and quite misleading.

"Everybody talks about SEC speed. The 27 fastest guys at the (NFL) combine, how many of them were from the SEC? Three. But if you say it enough, everybody will believe it."
-CPJ

"You could spend the next fifteen seconds of your life watching a man and a tiger scream together, or you could be an idiot."
Fact.

by Jesse28 on Nov 16, 2010 1:14 PM EST up reply actions  

you guys

I was just looking at rushing stats… Maybe we can look at passing later. I’m working on Special Teams right now. It’s not really interesting. Sort of like defensive stats. To me, the best indicators of winning are offensive stats and they’re the most interesting to analyze.

I write stuff From the Rumble Seat.

by BirdGT on Nov 16, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

The last paragraph seems generalized...

You concentrate on rushing to start, but then go on to say why we’re losing, and start throwing around a bunch of reasons not related to rushing (including throwing interceptions):

“What this tells me is that we’re comfortable with our offense now as wins and losses are almost identical statistically. We’re just not catching the breaks we got in 2009 (e.g. increased turnovers, poor field position, and bad special teams). We’ve lost as many fumbles as we did in 2009 in 29% less games. We’ve thrown one less interception than we did in 2009 and we still have 2 games plus a bowl game to go (hopefully). We’re also punting at a higher frequency with a lower average than 2009. This all adds up to a down year compared to CPJ standards set in 2009.”

by Beernutts on Nov 17, 2010 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

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