How Georgia Tech deprioritized the forward pass.
In Georgia Tech recent history the team had passed for 50% or greater from 1988 to 2003. This 15 year streak was book ended by Darrell Gast and Rick Strom passing for a combined 47% in 1987 and Reggie Ball's 2004 effort. Prior to our current predicament, we hadn't seen such an epic string of misfires and incompletions since Pepper Rodgers' reign. From 1974-1980, Tech QB's only completed 544 passes of 1135 attempts (47.9% completion percentage).
Now, that we know Tech fans (young and old) are familiar with completion percentages under 50% we can begin our discussion on the recent run of dubious passing. Georgia Tech hasn't passed for 50% since 2003 (Reggie Ball's freshman season). We've seen five different starting quarterbacks play 85 games from 2004 to present. Only 40 of those 85 games saw a QB pass for over 50% completions. Generally speaking, passing at a sub-500 clip is usually a sign of failure. Check out the chart below of teams since 2004 who have passed for less than 50% completions (white dots = non-GT teams, gold dots = average per year, navy dots = GT):
Thirty nine different schools have passed for below 50% completions since 2004. Only a hand full of them have done so twice since 2004. The Washington Huskies were the only team close to Georgia Tech's ridiculous 7 season streak. Washington has accomplished this sub-50 feat 4 times since 2004. Since 2004, only 21 of the 60 sub-50 teams have been bowl eligible (including GT and Navy).
With regards to winning football games when your quarterback is launching mortar rounds 75 degrees above the horizon, Georgia Tech outclasses all of the other sub-50% passing teams. The only sub-50 team that beat us winning percentage-wise since 2004 was Navy under Paul Johnson (2005 and 2006).
In a very concise yet heated discussion with Winfield, we both decided that there had to be a common thread amongst the 2004-2010 seasons. Something that bound 5 different starting quarterbacks and two completely different coaching staffs together. A string theory, if you will.
The first theory Winfield presented was that all of the quarterbacks have been recruits of Chan Gailey. Therefore, they were inherently inaccurate due to affiliation with the "Sloth of Offensive Football." This is definitely an interesting argument. Jaybo was a CPJ recruit and is passing for 53.8% at Georgia Southern and hasn't thrown a pick yet. Taylor Bennett, on the other hand, fled the triple option offense for Louisiana Tech in 2008. He only passed for 39.5% on a team that hadn't seen a sub-50% QB since God knows when. Chan's current Buffalo Bill offense is in the bottom quartile in most passing categories right and I have a feeling he hasn't even begun the ruining of that offense yet.
My theory and probably the least conspiracy theory-ish is that we have had a deep bomb passing offense since 2003. Calvin Johnson made the deep bomb worthwhile from 2004-2006. Taylor Bennett wasn't very good in 2007. And Paul Johnson didn't bring a Texas Tech dump and dink offense to the Flats either (see 2005/2006 Navy above). It's been a sequence of slightly unrelated events fueling this fire of inaccuracy. Ultimately, they are bound by the old gold helmets of the Institute. What do you all think?
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Personally
If and when Paul Johnson does leave Tech (hopefully not ever, but I gotta be down-to-earth here) we can pull in a coach who runs the spread, and a pass-heavy version at that. Being Georgia Tech in the ACC, we’ll never have enormous, buffet-busting linemen who can just bulldoze everyone like Alabama’s can, so we need to be able to better utilize speed and quickness to our advantage. Thus, you have the spread.
I also don’t think that our inability to pass is at all Johnson’s fault. When you look at Navy, their offense is straight up beautiful to watch because they run, run, and run a bit more, but can also mix it up and add in a passing play on first or second down, meaning they can also effectively pass on third-and-7. The secret? The QB can hit his receivers, and his receivers catch it. Meaning the fix is to get Stephen Hill and Company confident, and to get Nesbitt a little more accurate. Or just use David Sims/Synjyn Days at QB.
While I love Nesbitt to death
I am extremely curious to see a CPJ recruit take over as QB next year.
Better to have died a small boy than to drop this football - John HeismanFromTheRumbleSeat
by Winfield Featherston on Nov 1, 2010 11:21 AM EDT reply actions
My biggest fear
is that we never get another Joshua Nesbitt.
Nesbitt is your problem
When and if you get a QB in there (and there are tons of option QB’s in the South) who can run this offense better than your current athlete, then you will have a chance to really cause some problems.
Don't give up, don't ever give up ~ Jim Valvano
If you think Nesbitt is the problem,
you haven’t been watching GT football the past 2+ years.
i hear
synjan(?) days has some good upside for taking over the job next yeae
This is my Family Tradition
by The_GT_LineageX11 on Nov 1, 2010 4:36 PM EDT reply actions
Definitely been hearing
he’s about to pass (no pun intended) Tevin on the depth chart.
Just for the record
I just played as Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech, at night, but used the spread offense with our current roster. I won 38-0. Nesbitt was 15-19 for 260+ yards. I’M TELLING YOU IT WOULD WORK!!!!!
Just for the record (part 2)
I just played Civil War Generals 2 and won the civil war as the Confederates by 1864! I’M TELLING YOU IT WORLD WORK!!!!!!!
ps…Synjan the Eyngine….you know thats a hot niche name….
M-Train Engineer, with significant experience in non-language related skills....
by A hellava Financial Engineer on Nov 2, 2010 10:58 AM EDT reply actions

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