Joe Hamilton's Chauffeur plays the Devil's Advocate for basketball
FTRS loyal reader Joe Hamilton's Chauffeur continued our discussion on GT Basketball a few days ago. Unfortunately I found it too late to move it to the top of the board. The discussion should still be one for us to dissect. For other recent basketball discussion, check out this, this, and finally this.
I started this as a comment, but realized it was way too bloated for the comments section. As background, during my time on campus ('96-'00) I got to witness the low point of the basketball program over the last 25 years. I arrived on campus the year after Stephon Marbury left (so we had no point guard), my sophomore year Dion Glover tore his acl during midnight madness (so we had no shooting guard), and Bobby Cremin's pattern of focusing on getting a few really outstanding players and not worrying about recruiting for depth really bit the program in the butt (we had Matt Harpring and not much else). I witnessed three trips to the NIT (we didn't even make it to New York once!), and then Cremins got forced out after my senior year. With that in mind, I greatly appreciate the job Paul Hewitt has done managing the program since he arrived. While we haven't been consistent, when we've been good we've played a very exciting brand of basketball, and I'm certainly very pleased with the way the team has played this year (I've given him a "Yes" vote in all of the polls).
That said, I can understand why some fans might not be totally pleased with Hewitt's job performance over time. Here's my attempt at playing the devil's advocate. There are three big picture concerns with the program's performance since Hewitt took over. :
1. From a statistical standpoint: we've been lousy on the road particularly in conference games. We're usually pretty tough at home, and win 6 or 7 conference home games, but the difference between NIT and NCAA berths is getting to 8 or 9 conference wins, which means that we need at least 2 conference road wins every year. I didn't have time to look for a breakdown of home/road results during Hewitt's tenure, but the '04 team was the only one I remember with significant road wins (maryland and duke if I remember) and his only squad to post 9 or more conference wins. When you can't win on the road, it puts a lot of pressure on the team to win home games just to keep pace with the middle of the pack. Obviously, basketball is a result oriented activity, but our difficulties in conference road games are really a symptom of the problems caused by the other two criticisms...
2. The offense. From an eyeball standpoint, our offense has looked like a mess for pretty much the entire decade. When we get to end of game situations, there is too much "Just give the ball to Will Bynum/Jarret Jack/Peacock/Insert best ball handler here and have everyone else stand around" for the team to be consistent from year to year (when you've got a really good playmaker, like Bynum in '04, this can work pretty well, but if you've got a freshman still learning the ropes or a guy who is a stand still jump shooter, this is a really bad plan). While the teams that have been good have played really good defense (this years team in particular does a particularly good job of forcing bad shots and getting defensive rebounds), even the good editions of the basketball team have seemed disorganized and prone to throwing up bad three point shots. We've had several good to very good big men this decade (Bosh, Favors, Lawal, Nelson, etc.), but our guards haven't been consistent with getting the ball into the big men. Lawal and Favors put up huge numbers last night, but too many of their points had to come in transition or when grabbing an offensive rebound or loose ball inside. Our strength is our interior players, and our guards need to be taught (a) how to get the ball and (b) how important it is to feed the ball inside (you get more easy shots and get the other team in foul trouble by pounding it inside). Particularly with a player with Peacock's skills (he's got good height and good ball handling ability) it is shameful that we haven't worked out a high-low set with peacock feeding the ball to lawal and favors from the free throw line. The bottom line is that our offense has been way too dependent on having superior athletes with matchups that we can exploit. It's not a strategy that is going to lead to consistent success, particularly when...
3. One-and-dones: We've had way too many guys go pro after playing only one season (to be fair to Hewitt, this problem started under Cremins, and we're not the only program affected) and since Hewitt has taken over we've had Chris Bosh, Thaddeus Young, Javaris Crittenton, and (almost certainly) Favors all leave the program after only one season. Having the guys leave after one year causes several problems. We seem to perpetually have freshmen playing too many minutes. It's not a coincidence that the best teams since Hewitt took over ('01, '04, '05 and '07) have had mostly upper classmen on the floor. Freshmen are going to be more negatively affected by playing on the road, less familiar with the system, and more prone to making poor, undisciplined plays. Because they're 18 or 19 years old, freshmen haven't spent nearly as much time in the weight room, and they aren't as strong as the guys they're going up against. Losing players after one year makes it very difficult to develop depth. How much better would this years team be with Crittenton (who would be a senior) running the point? We could have a five man rotation of Crittenton, Bell, Shumpert, Udofia, and Rice at guard, but I digress.
Any one of those three things, if they happened in a particular year, could be pushed off on the collection of players that happened to be there, or bad luck (injuries, particularly unlucky schedule), but when they go on for a decade, they have to lay at the feet of the person running the program. The fact that the program has been damaged repeatedly by players leaving after one season and the lack of an offense that is coherent, consistent, and takes advantage of our players strengths are a reflection of the coach and his philosophy. In Hewitt's case the philosophy seems to be: (1) when recruiting, worry only about the near term and don't worry about the long term viability of the program and (2) when preparing to play focus only on defense and attempt to win by suffocating our opponents and getting easy baskets in transition.
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This year vs. Final Four Year
I wish I had to time to do the comparison but I would love to see a breakdown of how this year compares to the final four year. I know we started hot out of the gate with the win vs. UConn but I remember that being a season of, crap are we gonna lose this stupid game. it feels eerily similar in that if this team gets hots like they obviously can, I can see us playing competitively against most Top 10 teams (KU and UK not so much).
yeah
I remember when that Billett guy hit a 3 to beat the Final Four team at UVA. The ACC is just a matter of match ups and getting toughened up for tournament play, imo.
I guess the atmosphere that I've tried to create here is that I'm a friend first and a boss second, and probably an entertainer third.
Our Schedule isn't nearly as good this year as it was that year
We had back-to-back monster wins over two excellent teams in the Preseason NIT, UConn and Texas Tech. The ACC was significantly better that year, and we managed to win more than half of our games against them. We also upset a ridiculously talented Duke team (another Final Four team that year), in their house, snapping a home-winning streak that at that time was record-long. In the end, our team was 3-3 against Final Four teams that year, which is an amazing record (heck, I can’t believe we played the other three Final Four teams a total of 6 times).
In short, there is no comparison between this year and that year. Sure, the pattern of wins and losses appears familiar, but we faced a significantly more difficult schedule (even our midseason “break” opponent was Tennessee, as opposed to our opponent this Saturday). We were also undefeated for a long time, compared to this year’s early loss to an unranked school in the A-10. We have to chalk it up as a magical season for a lifetime’s worth of memories, and unfortunately we haven’t been back to great-status, let alone elite-, since. While Maryland has gone dancing every year, we struggle with putting even a good team on the floor from year to year.
Since this is probably the last year that we’ll be able to view these, here are the appropriate kenpom links:
Team Stats – This has been mentioned before, but we were in the top 25 on offense and defense that year.
ACC Stats – Seriously, 6 percentage points higher than the number two conference, the SEC. The ACC was unbelievable that year, which is why a 9-7 record with 4 away wins was enough to earn a number 3 seed in the tournament.
by Portmanteur on Jan 26, 2010 10:41 AM EST up reply actions
Not as good at home as you think...
Hewitt until this year was 42-30 at home in the ACC. Even discounting the 2-6 showing last year, he went 40-24 in his first 8 seasons. That’s averaging 5-3 at home (not 6 or 7 wins), and that’s also taking away his worst season.
Other than that I think you are pretty spot on. Clearly having no point guard (especially an experienced point guard) has crippled a lot of Hewitt’s teams. The easy fix to that is to always have at least a Sophomore PG on the team. Maybe easier said than done, but IMO Hewitt has been mediocre at keeping the cupboard stocked.
So Hewitt brings in Jack in 02, then doesn’t bring in anybody in 03. Instead of getting a true PG in 04, we opt to go with two SGs (Frederick and Morrow). 05 we go with Austin Jackson, who predictably never suits up, and Lewis Clinch, also a SG. 06 we finally get a PG, but he’s one-and-done and predictably wouldn’t have lasted more than two years.
Finally, in 07, we get a PG who was/is likely to stick around for at least 3 years (Mo Miller). We lucked out with Shumpert being as good of a ball handler as he is. In 09 we got another PG (Udofia).
I think the single biggest reason we weren’t good after Jack left is that we tried to compete in the ACC without a veteran point guard. Once Jack was a sophomore, we should have recruited someone else to play point (not 2 shooting guards). We certainly should have grabbed a true PG who was certain to come to GT in 05, not someone who was being watched as a pro baseball player. Further, once 06 rolled around, we needed to get another PG to provide us depth. I love me some Mario West, but he was a walk-on. We should have had some bona-fide talent waiting in the wings i) to take over when Jack left and ii) to take over when Critt left. That would have smoothed out a lot of Hewitt’s down years.
by Howell on Jan 25, 2010 6:14 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
Excellent points
I agree with most of the content but maybe not the title. The majority of the Hewitt discussion on this blog has focused on his shortcomings (even from his supporters like you and Bird). I think the Devil’s Advocate position would discuss his past successes and hopefully our good positioning for the future.
To HELL with georgia!
by White and Goldrick on Jan 25, 2010 9:35 PM EST reply actions
I was thinking about a pro-Hewitt post
That pesky full time job has been getting in the way.
by Joe Hamilton's Chauffeur on Jan 27, 2010 10:28 AM EST up reply actions
This season
This team is 2 close losses to FSU from being 5-1 in the ACC and ranked in the top 10. It’s also 2 close wins over Clemson and UNC from being 1-5 in the ACC and written off.
Rest of the year could go either way. A loss at home to Wake followed by retribution at Duke and things could spiral downward. Solid play in both games with at least one W and maybe a tourney bid awaits.
Sometimes I wonder/ have a conspiracy theory
(and I have no data or anything to back this up) is that Hewitt created a TEAM in the 04 and 05 seasons. Every player had their role and the did it well. CPH was so desperate to get back to the Final Four and have successful runs in the NCAAT that he turned away from his former recruiting practices and focused on simply “really really good individual players” who were obviously not going to stay around. This thought has led the program to where it is today.
The college football season is so fragile. It's like a glass ball being pushed around from stadium to stadium by a rhinoceros.
by Winfield Featherston on Jan 26, 2010 11:21 AM EST reply actions
There's something to that
I think a big part of the success of that team was the lack of a superstar. That allowed them to play together a few years and build a team. They were very good players, but the superstar, Bosh, had left the year before. Jack was arguably the best talent, but he wasn’t one of the upper-classmen.













