GT's O Averages vs. Iowa's D Averages

by BirdGT on Dec 13, 2009 12:00 PM EST

This came across the South Carolina telegraph wires:

Can you show Iowa's opponents' average offensive outputs [stop]
compared to Iowa's defensive performance? [stop]
Can you show GT's opponents' average defensive efforts [stop]
compared to GT's offensive performances? [stop]
Sincerely, [stop]
Yakub²

Yakub, thanks for the suggestion and my answer to both questions is another question, "Does a bear sh*t in the woods?"

The above tables show how Iowa's opponents fared on offense against all of their BCS caliber opponents (excluding Iowa). The second column shows how well Iowa's defense kept them in check. The "Net" Column is Iowa's production minus the team's average. So, in the case of Iowa State. The Hawkeyes limited the Cyclones to 46 yards below their season average against BCS opponents and 16 points below their season scoring average against BCS teams.

This table is the opposite of the previous. It shows GT's offensive fury compared to its opponents' defensive averages. So for example, the Tarheels gave up 126 yards over their season average against BCS squads and 6 points over their average scoring defensive effort.

At the bottom of both tables is the average. It's kinda interesting to see that essentially both schedules were fairly similar. The Big 10 schedule of Iowa averaged 26 points per game as the ACC schedule of GT managed 25. The Big 10 offenses racked up 388 yards while the ACC defenses gave up 361 yards. Seems like we've got pretty comparable schedules statistically speaking if you consider the fact that the average of the "Season" columns is pretty much interchangeable as offense/defense. The small amount of out of conference opponents only manages to skew the data so much from the actual conference averages.

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so iowa keeps us 100 yards under season average

I still like our chances with 360 yards of total offense in a matchup that I think is very similar to vatech.

by csulima on Dec 13, 2009 2:03 PM EST reply actions

Something to adjust

Iowa threw several pick 6s this year. So the defense did not give up all those points. If you adjust the above stats to show the Michigan and Arizona pick sixes, that 12 fewer points. Also, until the Michigan game Iowa had gone 33 quarters without surrendering a rushing TD. Examining Iowa’s defense purely based on stats often doesn’t tell the whole story. The offense turned the ball over a lot this year, interceptions in particular. The defense was often put in situations where they had to put out a fire. Stats don’t show starting field position, for example.

"I think it's safe to say our concerns are many." -- Kirk Ferentz

by StoopsMyAss on Dec 13, 2009 2:27 PM EST up reply actions

Oh, and Northwestern

covered a fumble by Stanzi in the end zone…so that’s almost 2 points fewer per game when you adust those in.

"I think it's safe to say our concerns are many." -- Kirk Ferentz

by StoopsMyAss on Dec 13, 2009 2:28 PM EST up reply actions

Stop making it so complicated Stoops! I want to see more incredibly insightful charts and tables! What a fucking nerd school.

I check cheddar like a food inspector

by SpanishJohnny on Dec 13, 2009 2:29 PM EST up reply actions

ha!

"I think it's safe to say our concerns are many." -- Kirk Ferentz

by StoopsMyAss on Dec 13, 2009 2:29 PM EST up reply actions

I'll look into that stuff this week.

Defensive field position related to end result. Defensive conversion percentages like how often y’all gave up first downs/TD’s or big plays. I’m sure it’s a lot better than GT’s this year.

This new learning amazes me, Sir Bedevere. Explain again how sheep's bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.

by BirdGT on Dec 13, 2009 8:26 PM EST up reply actions

Can I get that in a pie graph?

by Stay thirsty, my friends. on Dec 15, 2009 11:42 AM EST up reply actions

eagle/american flag pic? really???

“spanishjonny” blows goats. i have proof.

by wesleywhatwhat on Dec 13, 2009 7:56 PM EST reply actions

In his defense

They are very sexy goats.

Black and Gold Blood: Cubbie Blue Heart

Follow me on Twitter: @MattLaCasse

by MissouriHawk on Dec 13, 2009 8:15 PM EST up reply actions

You have a problem with the flag?

by the_iowa_hawkeye on Dec 14, 2009 12:47 PM EST up reply actions

Fuckin' communist.

/O'keefe'd

by Smokin Herb Grigsby on Dec 14, 2009 1:42 PM EST up reply actions

So essentially

this post proves what we’ve all believed; GT’s Offense vs. Iowa’s Defense is what this game is all about. It’s gonna be a blast watching these two teams strategize against and beat up one another.

/O'keefe'd

by Smokin Herb Grigsby on Dec 14, 2009 1:44 PM EST reply actions

Except – that when it comes down to it, the unexpected will happen. Will the Iowa offense play the one complete game we’ve been waiting for all fucking year or will the GT defense grow a pair in the next couple weeks? In my humble opinion, the 2 strengths will split – GT will score some and the Iowa D will hold them below what they’re used to. So, does Stanzi throw to the good guys or bad guys? Does Iowa go on 7 or 8 minute drives or put up 5 consecutive 3 & dones? A healthy Iowa = I like our chances.

by txhawkeye on Dec 14, 2009 3:20 PM EST up reply actions