Duke Preview - Common Opponent Breakdown
Since Duke is later in the season and a Coastal opponent, we can look at common opponent performances for our respective squads. The Dukies played VT close in what's turned out to be an incredibly important Coastal game. They struggled against a foundering UVA and were blown up by UNC, which GT manhandled. So let's look at how GT and Duke fared against these three teams in our preview today. Please keep in mind I'm a little stoned on antihistamines.
Offensive Comparisons
A look at the yards per carry (YPC) shows that Duke had little to no legit rushing attack against the Hokies, 'Hoos, and 'Heels. In fact, the only major offensive statistics that the Dukies beat the Jackets were completion percentage and yards per pass attempt. Even then, Tech fans don't really care about either of those statistics as it has little to no relevance in our offense's success. The issue we should take from this, however, is that the Dukies will throw the short to intermediate high completion percentage passes against our defense. We should be prepared for a Wake Forest style attack.
The big difference between Duke and Wake is the experience of the offensive lines. Wake had all seniors and juniors on their OL. Duke's offensive line has a single senior and two underclassmen starting. This is why they can't run the football to save their lives. They are dead last in the ACC at 39.40 yards per ACC game rushing. Abysmal. Our pass defense should be prepared to play. Duke literally has no rushing offense.
Defensive Comparisons
I think it's pretty obvious why we won the three games in question. Touchdowns given up and 3rd Down Conversion %. Duke is actually doing a pretty good job of stopping the big play but they've not been able to get the opposing offense off the field all season. In losses, the Dukies have given up 48.33% of their opponents' third down conversions, which is just shy of Georgia Tech's ACC game average. I think GT just needs to play our VT game plan of pounding the ground and burning up the clock. If we score quickly, I have a feeling Duke will answer quickly with their passing attack. The second half will see a worn down Duke defense giving up big plays in the running game.
Overall Thoughts and Predictions
The above table is why I think we'll beat the Dukies down. The Dukies have negative net points against our common three opponents while Tech has soundly defeated all three. VT was close score-wise for us but statistically we laid the wood on the Hokies. If GT has a problem with the Blue Devils, then we don't deserve to win the Coastal.
Bird: Tech 40, Puke 14.
Winfield: The Dookies put up 14 points in the first half and then 3 in the 2nd half. Tech puts up 30 in the first half and then 24 in the 2nd half. We don't let up because on saturday, WE CLINCH! Tech 54 Duke 17.
Dane: Tech 38, Duke 17
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We simplify the defense yet again
This time down to NCAA 10 level (ok, everyone just follow the ball and tackle the guy dressed in blue thats carrying it) and win 44-24.
Maker's Mark--nectar of the gods...
48-3
Simple as that. UNC shut them down and we are much better than UNC. If duke scores on us it’ll be from a single busted pass protection play and I’ll still be upset. I’m sticking to my guns and saying that eventually we have to completely dominate an inferior opponent and no better time than with Duke.
Corey Zickefoose: I think they should still be able to play football, regardless. Tennessee is my place. You know, it's my football team.
Reporter: Even after they put a gun in your face, you say let them play football?
Corey Zickefoose: Yeah. It's Tennessee. That's the way it is sometimes.
Welcome to the SEC!
vegas says Tech -13
interesting…I guess Vegas doesn’t trust us
This new learning amazes me, Sir Bedevere. Explain again how sheep's bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.
well
They sure have been keeping my brow a-sweating the last two weeks, so I can hardly blame Vegas. But really, I just want to be able to watch a football game without having to send my kids upstairs for once, haha.
Corey Zickefoose: I think they should still be able to play football, regardless. Tennessee is my place. You know, it's my football team.
Reporter: Even after they put a gun in your face, you say let them play football?
Corey Zickefoose: Yeah. It's Tennessee. That's the way it is sometimes.
Welcome to the SEC!
Clinch
Tech never trails (as long as they get the ball first) and wins 42-27, pulling away late after Duke keeps it interesting for three quarters.
Duke is Reddickulously Outmatched
Tech: 42
Duke: 13
I also think we are due to blow someone out. Dwyer or Nesbitt has a near career day and moves to the top of the list for ACC POY. Which one is up to Duke; they can choose which way they want to get burned.
by White and Goldrick on Nov 13, 2009 1:23 PM EST reply actions
ACC POTY
Right now, I’d go with CJ Spiller for Overall. Nesbitt is close behind. Depends on how the two teams close, in my opinion.
Offensive POTY has to be Nesbitt or Dwyer at this point. It’s an interesting split for me because Nesbitt carried us the first half but I have a feeling Dwyer will finish really strong.
Defensive POTY is DeAndre McDaniel vs. Derrick Morgan. Once again, all about the close of the season. Who steps up for their team?
This new learning amazes me, Sir Bedevere. Explain again how sheep's bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.
I like Dane's 38-17
Sounds about right to me.
"Statistics are like bikinis. What they reveal is suggestive, but what they conceal is vital." - Aaron Levenstein












