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Where and When CPJ gives you the ball

The earlier post today was about overall play calling. I think it's pretty evident that our players all have unique skills, strengths, and weaknesses. So breaking down the running backs even further gives us some more interesting information about the Georgia Tech offense. First off, I wanna show a chart with the breakdown of which positions are getting the ball with respect to field position. I put Roddy Jones, Lucas Cox, Anthony Allen, Embry Peeples, and Marcus Wright into the A-Back category. I placed Preston Lyons and Johnathan Dwyer in the B-Back category for carries. And, of course, Nesbitt is the only QB that's received legit action at QB. I didn't factor in Jaybo Shaw, Orwin Smith, or Richard Watson because they haven't seen significant carries when games were actually hanging in the balance. Sacks are not counted in the running stats either (as they shouldn't be). Here's the chart by percentage:

Runsbd1_medium


It's kinda interesting because CPJ's just doing what we all knew back when NCAA 2003 came out - the QB dive is unstoppable when you need 1 yard or need to get out of the shadow of your own goal post. I tried to break the chart down as close to 10 yards per division as possible. The key fact in this first chart is that CPJ uses his A backs and B backs to get down the field and then uses Nesbitt's legs once the offense is in the red zone. Less pitches, sweeps, and hand offs versus more midline and QB keepers.

The next chart breaks down the play call for specific players by down. And since CPJ has shown a likin' to Nesbitt, Dwyer, Roddy, and AA they all get their own color in the graph while everyone else is lumped into "Others":

Runsbd2_medium


For me, this graph is fairly interesting. The amount of data for 4th down isn't that great so keep that in mind. I'm factoring 241 carries on first down versus only 11 run attempts on fourth down. Dwyer's importance is definitely noticeable in the first down carries. Despite his apparent "drop-off," he is still the guy we go to on 1st down. The guy we expect to consistently gain yardage in order to set up easier 2nd and 3rd downs.

The final graph for the rushing analysis is a comparison of the same group of primary running backs. This is related to distance to achieve a first down or touchdown since play calling is typically predicated by distance to achieve said end result. The chart:

Runsbd3_medium


I'm glad to see that we don't get cute too often. It's either Dwyer or Nesbitt with 1-2 yards to go 80% of the time. Edge plays are more prevalent further away from the goal line. Dwyer basically gets the ball around 20% of the time no matter the distance we have to gain, which is totally cool with me. Let me know your thoughts.

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I think a lot of who gets the yards depends on the defense

Between the tackles Josh or the B back get it based on Josh’s read. If the defense is taking the dive, then Josh gets more yards. If they are watching for Josh, then the B back gets more.

I also think the A-back numbers are influenced in large part by who is in the game, since they rotate on most plays, and which way it goes. AND whether Josh pitches or not.

It’’s not as if Johnson is calling a particular player’s number a lot of the time.

by CraigT on Nov 10, 2009 4:59 PM EST reply actions  

I don't know

I think a lot of plays are “option looks” that are called plays. I know Tom Osbourne once said 80% of the options were actually called pitch plays. I’m not sure about Johnson’s playcalling habits but I’d assume the dives are called a lot of the time.

This new learning amazes me, Sir Bedevere. Explain again how sheep's bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.

by BirdGT on Nov 10, 2009 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Have heard that as well.

Though we can never be sure until CPJ says so himself

The college football season is so fragile. It's like a glass ball being pushed around from stadium to stadium by a rhinoceros.

by Winfield Featherston on Nov 10, 2009 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Watching the Vandy game

There were definitely a few plays where Nesbitt held it by design.

by EffinDane on Nov 10, 2009 11:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Designed plays

Without getting into whether or not players are getting the call on a designed option play, there are some plays that are not option based and can be said with certainty that they are designed for a particular player to get the ball. An example of this is the power/speed sweep toss that always goes to the A-Back in motion.

I’m sure there are some dive plays called for that aren’t driven by the option, unless you consider reading the defense pre-snap in order to audible part of the option. I could easily see Nesbitt reading the DT and calling for an audible to either change to a dive or away from it. Not sure how much of that is being done currently, but I would think that it at least has to be an option for Nesbitt.

"This is America, if we can’t self-righteously look down on others and blame them for our faults, the commies win."-----Cormican on Bleeding Green Nation w/r/t fans overreacting to the Eagles signing of Michael Vick

by Jesse28 on Nov 11, 2009 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

That's how the midline option works

Nesbitt reads the DT and either leaves it with Dwyer or takes it himself. But even if he makes the decision before the snap, that’s still not Johnson calling the play.

by CraigT on Nov 11, 2009 6:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I was meaning the QB dives

Obviously the B-Back dive is part of the option, but when calling for a QB dive I’m assuming that is Johnson specifically calling for Nesbitt’s number.

"This is America, if we can’t self-righteously look down on others and blame them for our faults, the commies win."-----Cormican on Bleeding Green Nation w/r/t fans overreacting to the Eagles signing of Michael Vick

by Jesse28 on Nov 12, 2009 10:38 AM EST up reply actions  

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